NEW ORLEANS
PELICANSNO
6-29 | Road
110
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
6-26 | Home
98
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
PELICANS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.2
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.2 points (New Orleans)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -7.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)
NO By 1-7 points
26.1%
NO By 8-14 points
25.5%
WSH By 1-7 points
15.0%
WSH By 8-14 points
5.6%
AI Model Projected Score
New Orleans
113.45
NEW ORLEANS
Washington
106.25
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
New Orleans
NEW ORLEANS
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Pelicans (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 8, 2026
WSH @ NO
118 - 138
Jan 9, 2026
NO @ WSH
128 - 107
Jan 5, 2025
NO @ WSH
110 - 98
Jan 3, 2025
WSH @ NO
120 - 132
Feb 14, 2024
WSH @ NO
126 - 133
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+42.0% more
New Orleans: 6.2
vs
Washington: 3.6
Steals (L5)
+21.8% more
New Orleans: 9.7
vs
Washington: 7.6
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.9%
New Orleans: 81.8%
vs
Washington: 78.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+42.8% more
Washington: 17.5
vs
New Orleans: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NO Score
113.5
110
WSH Score
106.3
98
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.7 / 37.2
26.8 / 36.7
Assists
29.1 / 30.5
25.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.6 / 6.2
4.0 / 8.0
Field Goal %
48.8 / 48.4
42.7 / 41.1
Free Throw %
78.9 / 81.8
78.6 / 90.0
Rebounding
45.8 / 37.4
46.0 / 49.0
Steals
7.6 / 9.7
6.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
17.5 / 12.3
16.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
Advantage
26-56-0
(31.7%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
Advantage
45-36-1
(55.6%)
Margin: -4.5
ATS +/-: +0.3
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.7
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
NO
WSH
NO
ML
70%
112-49
62%
98-61
47%
39-44
58%
48-35
ATS
69%
111-49-1
68%
107-51-1
47%
39-44
58%
48-35
TTL
74%
119-41-1
75%
119-40
100%
83-0
100%
83-0
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