UTAH
JAZZUTAH
8-25 | Road
105
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
21-15 | Home
92
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
MAGIC
100%
JAZZ
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UTAH By 1-7 points
26.8%
UTAH By 8-14 points
18.4%
ORL By 1-7 points
23.1%
ORL By 8-14 points
12.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
110.61
UTAH
Orlando
108.7
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Orlando
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 219.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UTAH @ ORL
117 - 120
Dec 20, 2025
ORL @ UTAH
128 - 127
Feb 1, 2025
ORL @ UTAH
99 - 113
Jan 5, 2025
UTAH @ ORL
105 - 92
Feb 29, 2024
UTAH @ ORL
107 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+19.6% more
Utah: 48.6
vs
Orlando: 39.0
Turnovers (L5)
+9.0% more
Utah: 16.4
vs
Orlando: 14.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Utah: 37.6%
vs
Orlando: 32.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.4%
Utah: 80.9%
vs
Orlando: 76.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
110.6
105
ORL Score
108.7
92
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.9 / 37.6
29.8 / 34.4
Assists
25.2 / 27.3
25.0 / 21.0
Blocks
6.0 / 4.4
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
43.8 / 47.9
35.7 / 48.1
Free Throw %
76.5 / 80.9
61.5 / 88.9
Rebounding
39.0 / 48.6
43.0 / 50.0
Steals
11.0 / 7.9
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
14.9 / 16.4
11.0 / 22.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
UTAH
ORL
UTAH
ML
61%
65-42
60%
96-63
56%
51-40
48%
40-43
ATS
64%
68-38-1
68%
108-51
56%
51-40
48%
40-43
TTL
57%
61-46
75%
119-39-1
100%
91-0
100%
83-0
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