ORLANDO
MAGICORL
21-16 | Road
103
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
24-12 | Home
94
AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
KNICKS
0%
MAGIC
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.3 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -10.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
ORL By 1-7 points
10.3%
ORL By 8-14 points
3.1%
NY By 1-7 points
22.7%
NY By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
103.59
ORLANDO
New York
113.85
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Orlando
ORLANDO
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 217.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Dec 13, 2025
NY @ ORL
132 - 120
Dec 7, 2025
ORL @ NY
100 - 106
Nov 22, 2025
NY @ ORL
121 - 133
Nov 12, 2025
ORL @ NY
124 - 107
Jan 6, 2025
ORL @ NY
103 - 94
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
New York: 46.6
vs
Orlando: 40.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.9%
New York: 50.0%
vs
Orlando: 41.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+5.2%
New York: 76.7%
vs
Orlando: 71.5%
Blocks (L5)
+41.1% more
Orlando: 5.3
vs
New York: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
103.6
103
NY Score
113.9
94
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
30.6 / 31.9
18.2 / 35.5
Assists
26.9 / 25.1
16.0 / 23.0
Blocks
3.1 / 5.3
3.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
50.0 / 41.1
44.4 / 50.0
Free Throw %
76.7 / 71.5
81.8 / 77.8
Rebounding
46.6 / 40.4
38.0 / 39.0
Steals
7.9 / 10.0
4.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
12.6 / 13.6
12.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
ORL
NY
ORL
ML
61%
114-72
61%
65-42
56%
57-45
56%
51-40
ATS
67%
124-62
64%
68-38-1
56%
57-45
56%
51-40
TTL
72%
133-53
57%
61-46
100%
102-0
100%
91-0
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