SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
18-17 | Road
110
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
16-19 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
BULLS
0%
SPURS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.8
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.8 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -7.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
SA By 1-7 points
13.9%
SA By 8-14 points
5.0%
CHI By 1-7 points
25.5%
CHI By 8-14 points
26.1%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
107.93
SAN ANTONIO
Chicago
115.78
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Chicago
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -7.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 30, 2026
CHI @ SA
114 - 129
Nov 10, 2025
SA @ CHI
121 - 117
Jan 6, 2025
SA @ CHI
110 - 114
Dec 5, 2024
CHI @ SA
139 - 124
Jan 13, 2024
CHI @ SA
122 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+49.8% more
Chicago: 8.1
vs
San Antonio: 5.4
Turnovers (L5)
+15.9% more
Chicago: 15.0
vs
San Antonio: 12.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.5%
Chicago: 40.3%
vs
San Antonio: 30.8%
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Chicago: 47.3%
vs
San Antonio: 44.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
107.9
110
CHI Score
115.8
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 30.8
33.3 / 32.6
Assists
32.1 / 29.9
25.0 / 31.0
Blocks
4.4 / 6.1
4.0 / 12.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 44.0
43.1 / 46.3
Free Throw %
82.7 / 80.6
86.7 / 58.3
Rebounding
47.0 / 53.2
47.0 / 49.0
Steals
8.1 / 5.4
12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.0 / 12.9
13.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
CHI
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
SA
CHI
SA
ML
56%
54-42
60%
111-73
57%
46-35
58%
61-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
58%
107-76-1
57%
46-35
58%
61-44
TTL
58%
56-40
74%
134-47-3
100%
81-0
100%
105-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…