ATLANTA
HAWKSATL
18-18 | Road
124
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
9-25 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
JAZZ
100%
HAWKS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.3
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.2 points (Atlanta)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -6.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)
ATL By 1-7 points
26.7%
ATL By 8-14 points
24.6%
UTAH By 1-7 points
16.5%
UTAH By 8-14 points
6.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Atlanta
118.77
ATLANTA
Utah
112.52
UTAH
Simulated Score
Atlanta
ATLANTA
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hawks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hawks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -6.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 231.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 5, 2026
UTAH @ ATL
119 - 121
Nov 13, 2025
ATL @ UTAH
132 - 122
Apr 6, 2025
UTAH @ ATL
134 - 147
Jan 7, 2025
ATL @ UTAH
124 - 121
Mar 15, 2024
ATL @ UTAH
122 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+36.2% more
Atlanta: 11.4
vs
Utah: 7.3
Assists (L5)
+13.1% more
Atlanta: 29.0
vs
Utah: 25.2
Rebounding (L5)
+15.7% more
Utah: 49.0
vs
Atlanta: 42.4
Turnovers (L5)
+12.2% more
Utah: 18.3
vs
Atlanta: 16.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATL Score
118.8
124
UTAH Score
112.5
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.5 / 32.6
39.6 / 40.9
Assists
25.2 / 29.0
25.0 / 35.0
Blocks
4.6 / 4.4
4.0 / 11.0
Field Goal %
47.9 / 44.9
41.7 / 48.0
Free Throw %
83.5 / 76.2
88.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
49.0 / 42.4
47.0 / 44.0
Steals
7.3 / 11.4
8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
18.3 / 16.3
16.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
Advantage
48-40-0
(54.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: +0.3
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: +0.1
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
ATL
UTAH
ATL
ML
60%
96-63
50%
52-52
48%
40-43
55%
48-40
ATS
68%
108-51
53%
55-48-1
48%
40-43
55%
48-40
TTL
75%
119-39-1
53%
55-48-1
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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