Home / NBA Projections NBA / Wizards @ 76ers WSH @ PHI

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

6-28  |  Road

103
FINAL
Wed, Jan 8 • 7:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

14-20  |  Home

109
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
76ERS
0%
WIZARDS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-14.6
PHILADELPHIA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +14.6 points (Philadelphia)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

7.2%

76ers Cover

92.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHI -14.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHI)

WSH By 1-7 points

5.2%

WSH By 8-14 points

1.2%

PHI By 1-7 points

16.0%

PHI By 8-14 points

25.7%

AI Model Projected Score
101.52
WASHINGTON
116.1
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI 76ers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI 76ers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -14.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 217.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 PHI @ WSH 153 - 131
Jan 7, 2026 WSH @ PHI 110 - 131
Dec 2, 2025 WSH @ PHI 102 - 121
Oct 28, 2025 PHI @ WSH 139 - 134
Apr 9, 2025 PHI @ WSH 122 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +40.3% more
Philadelphia: 9.4 vs Washington: 6.7
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +2.0%
Philadelphia: 36.8% vs Washington: 34.8%
Turnovers (L5) +22.6% more
Washington: 17.3 vs Philadelphia: 13.4
Assists (L5) +10.6% more
Washington: 25.5 vs Philadelphia: 22.8
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 101.5 103
PHI Score 116.1 109
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.8 / 34.8 34.1 / 43.3
Assists 22.8 / 25.5 21.0 / 26.0
Blocks 4.1 / 3.8 11.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 45.0 / 46.5 45.5 / 44.7
Free Throw % 75.7 / 77.5 73.7 / 66.7
Rebounding 41.9 / 44.9 36.0 / 51.0
Steals 9.4 / 6.7 8.0 / 3.0
Turnovers 13.4 / 17.3 9.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
WSH
PHI
WSH
ML
63% 69-40
70% 112-49
48% 45-48
47% 39-44
ATS
65% 71-38
69% 111-49-1
48% 45-48
47% 39-44
TTL
55% 60-49
74% 119-41-1
100% 93-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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