SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
18-18 | Road
105
MILWAUKEE
BUCKSMIL
18-16 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
BUCKS
0%
SPURS
--
BUCKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.6
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around MIL -10.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
SA By 1-7 points
9.9%
SA By 8-14 points
2.9%
MIL By 1-7 points
22.3%
MIL By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
104.09
SAN ANTONIO
Milwaukee
114.65
MILWAUKEE
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Milwaukee
MILWAUKEE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bucks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bucks (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -10.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
SA @ MIL
127 - 95
Jan 15, 2026
MIL @ SA
101 - 119
Jan 31, 2025
MIL @ SA
118 - 144
Jan 8, 2025
SA @ MIL
105 - 121
Jan 4, 2024
MIL @ SA
125 - 121
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+44.6% more
Milwaukee: 9.0
vs
San Antonio: 6.3
Turnovers (L5)
+9.0% more
Milwaukee: 15.6
vs
San Antonio: 14.3
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.8%
Milwaukee: 39.2%
vs
San Antonio: 31.4%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.4%
Milwaukee: 77.6%
vs
San Antonio: 73.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
104.1
105
MIL Score
114.7
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 31.4
45.2 / 34.6
Assists
28.8 / 30.3
26.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.1 / 8.1
4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
48.7 / 44.8
47.8 / 36.8
Free Throw %
77.6 / 73.2
70.0 / 85.0
Rebounding
45.3 / 51.8
57.0 / 46.0
Steals
9.0 / 6.3
7.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
15.6 / 14.3
11.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
MIL
32-50-0
(39.0%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
MIL
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -6.2
ATS +/-: -3.0
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
MIL
39-43-0
O: 47.6% / U: 52.4%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
SA
MIL
SA
ML
64%
61-35
60%
111-73
60%
49-32
58%
61-44
ATS
68%
65-31
58%
107-76-1
60%
49-32
58%
61-44
TTL
55%
53-43
74%
134-47-3
100%
81-0
100%
105-0
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