Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ 76ers NO @ PHI

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

7-31  |  Road

123
FINAL
Fri, Jan 10 • 7:00 PM ET
Wells Fargo Center
View Odds Details →

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

15-20  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
📊
76ERS
100%
PELICANS --
76ERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
219.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.3
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.3 points (New Orleans)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 76ersPHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

51.1%

76ers Cover

48.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -0.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

NO By 1-7 points

25.6%

NO By 8-14 points

15.7%

PHI By 1-7 points

25.1%

PHI By 8-14 points

14.9%

AI Model Projected Score
110.06
NEW ORLEANS
109.79
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
NEW ORLEANS
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 219.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 21, 2026 PHI @ NO 111 - 126
Jan 31, 2026 NO @ PHI 114 - 124
Mar 24, 2025 PHI @ NO 99 - 112
Jan 10, 2025 NO @ PHI 123 - 115
Mar 8, 2024 NO @ PHI 103 - 95
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +19.6% more
New Orleans: 14.9 vs Philadelphia: 12.0
Steals (L5) +12.8% more
New Orleans: 10.2 vs Philadelphia: 8.9
Assists (L5) +8.8% more
New Orleans: 24.3 vs Philadelphia: 22.2
Blocks (L5) +24.2% more
Philadelphia: 6.4 vs New Orleans: 5.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 110.1 123
PHI Score 109.8 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.9 / 33.8 36.8 / 45.0
Assists 22.2 / 24.3 23.0 / 31.0
Blocks 6.4 / 5.1 3.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 45.2 / 43.5 46.2 / 48.4
Free Throw % 75.0 / 75.7 89.5 / 65.4
Rebounding 39.9 / 42.2 42.0 / 44.0
Steals 8.9 / 10.2 7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 12.0 / 14.9 9.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
PHI Advantage
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NO
PHI
NO
ML
63% 69-40
62% 98-61
48% 45-48
58% 48-35
ATS
65% 71-38
68% 107-51-1
48% 45-48
58% 48-35
TTL
55% 60-49
75% 119-40
100% 93-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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