OKLAHOMA CITY
THUNDEROKC
30-6 | Road
126
NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
25-13 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
THUNDER
0%
KNICKS
100%
THUNDER
--
KNICKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.7
OKLAHOMA CITY
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.7 points (Oklahoma City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around OKC -3.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (OKC)
OKC By 1-7 points
27.4%
OKC By 8-14 points
21.2%
NY By 1-7 points
20.5%
NY By 8-14 points
9.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Oklahoma City
118.44
OKLAHOMA CITY
New York
114.71
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
Oklahoma City
OKLAHOMA CITY
New York
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Thunder
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Thunder (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 233.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
NY @ OKC
100 - 111
Mar 4, 2026
OKC @ NY
103 - 100
Jan 10, 2025
OKC @ NY
126 - 101
Jan 3, 2025
NY @ OKC
107 - 117
Mar 31, 2024
OKC @ NY
113 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+35.1% more
Oklahoma City: 5.2
vs
New York: 3.4
Steals (L5)
+27.4% more
Oklahoma City: 10.2
vs
New York: 7.4
Assists (L5)
+18.3% more
Oklahoma City: 28.8
vs
New York: 23.5
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+9.0%
Oklahoma City: 38.8%
vs
New York: 29.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
OKC Score
118.4
126
NY Score
114.7
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
29.8 / 38.8
12.9 / 51.9
Assists
23.5 / 28.8
18.0 / 20.0
Blocks
3.4 / 5.2
3.0 / 9.0
Field Goal %
48.0 / 49.6
38.5 / 53.9
Free Throw %
78.9 / 84.7
100.0 / 88.9
Rebounding
43.5 / 41.0
43.0 / 46.0
Steals
7.4 / 10.2
7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
13.6 / 13.1
12.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
OKC
Advantage
75-22-0
(77.3%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
NY
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
OKC
47-50-0
(48.4%)
Margin: 10.5
ATS +/-: +0.4
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
OKC
54-43-0
O: 55.7% / U: 44.3%
Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
OKC
NY
OKC
ML
61%
114-72
70%
80-34
56%
57-45
48%
46-49
ATS
67%
124-62
73%
83-30-1
56%
57-45
48%
46-49
TTL
72%
133-53
67%
76-38
100%
102-0
100%
95-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…