WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
6-29 | Road
105
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
17-20 | Home
138
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
BULLS
0%
WIZARDS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.6
CHICAGO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.6 points (Chicago)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHI -8.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
WSH By 1-7 points
12.7%
WSH By 8-14 points
4.3%
CHI By 1-7 points
24.7%
CHI By 8-14 points
26.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
105.97
WASHINGTON
Chicago
114.59
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Chicago
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Bulls
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Bulls (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -8.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 9, 2026
CHI @ WSH
119 - 108
Apr 7, 2026
CHI @ WSH
129 - 98
Nov 22, 2025
WSH @ CHI
120 - 121
Apr 11, 2025
WSH @ CHI
89 - 119
Jan 10, 2025
WSH @ CHI
105 - 138
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+51.1% more
Chicago: 8.3
vs
Washington: 5.5
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
Chicago: 78.8%
vs
Washington: 73.9%
Field Goal % (L5)
+1.8%
Chicago: 47.7%
vs
Washington: 45.9%
Turnovers (L5)
+11.5% more
Washington: 17.6
vs
Chicago: 15.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
106.0
105
CHI Score
114.6
138
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 37.6
46.9 / 39.1
Assists
27.5 / 25.7
39.0 / 26.0
Blocks
4.8 / 4.6
7.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
47.7 / 45.9
55.8 / 39.8
Free Throw %
78.8 / 73.9
64.3 / 69.2
Rebounding
44.3 / 46.9
55.0 / 45.0
Steals
8.3 / 5.5
11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 17.6
15.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHI
Advantage
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
WSH
CHI
WSH
ML
56%
54-42
70%
112-49
57%
46-35
47%
39-44
ATS
65%
62-33-1
69%
111-49-1
57%
46-35
47%
39-44
TTL
58%
56-40
74%
119-41-1
100%
81-0
100%
83-0
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