UTAH
JAZZUTAH
9-27 | Road
106
PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
17-19 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
SUNS
0%
JAZZ
--
SUNS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
224.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.9
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.9 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -1.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
UTAH By 1-7 points
23.1%
UTAH By 8-14 points
12.3%
PHX By 1-7 points
26.8%
PHX By 8-14 points
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
111.02
UTAH
Phoenix
112.95
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Phoenix
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 224.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 28, 2026
UTAH @ PHX
109 - 134
Oct 31, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
96 - 118
Oct 27, 2025
PHX @ UTAH
134 - 138
Feb 7, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
127 - 135
Jan 11, 2025
UTAH @ PHX
106 - 114
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+27.1% more
Phoenix: 29.8
vs
Utah: 23.4
Blocks (L5)
+9.9% more
Phoenix: 5.8
vs
Utah: 5.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+5.9%
Phoenix: 49.7%
vs
Utah: 43.8%
Steals (L5)
+24.3% more
Utah: 8.0
vs
Phoenix: 6.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
111.0
106
PHX Score
113.0
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 35.2
35.1 / 21.4
Assists
29.8 / 23.4
26.0 / 26.0
Blocks
5.8 / 5.3
4.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
49.7 / 43.8
51.2 / 43.8
Free Throw %
82.6 / 86.1
68.4 / 72.2
Rebounding
41.9 / 48.6
38.0 / 50.0
Steals
6.1 / 8.0
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.8 / 17.3
11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
UTAH
PHX
UTAH
ML
57%
60-45
60%
96-63
51%
45-43
48%
40-43
ATS
58%
59-43-3
68%
108-51
51%
45-43
48%
40-43
TTL
59%
61-42-2
75%
119-39-1
100%
88-0
100%
83-0
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