Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pistons @ Knicks DET @ NY

DETROIT

PISTONSDET

20-19  |  Road

124
FINAL
Mon, Jan 13 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

26-14  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
PISTONS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
PISTONS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.7
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.7 points (New York)
PistonsDET (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pistons Cover

25.1%

Knicks Cover

74.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -6.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

DET By 1-7 points

15.8%

DET By 8-14 points

6.1%

NY By 1-7 points

26.4%

NY By 8-14 points

25.1%

AI Model Projected Score
113.69
DETROIT
120.41
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
DETROIT
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -6.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 234.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 19, 2026 DET @ NY 126 - 111
Feb 6, 2026 NY @ DET 80 - 118
Jan 5, 2026 NY @ DET 90 - 121
May 1, 2025 NY @ DET 116 - 113
Apr 29, 2025 DET @ NY 106 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +10.0%
New York: 85.1% vs Detroit: 75.1%
Blocks (L5) +38.2% more
Detroit: 5.7 vs New York: 3.5
Steals (L5) +19.6% more
Detroit: 8.5 vs New York: 6.9
Turnovers (L5) +19.0% more
Detroit: 15.7 vs New York: 12.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
DET Score 113.7 124
NY Score 120.4 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 30.7 / 43.6 40.5 / 44.1
Assists 24.1 / 28.9 26.0 / 20.0
Blocks 3.5 / 5.7 2.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 49.2 / 49.0 50.0 / 50.0
Free Throw % 85.1 / 75.1 82.8 / 94.4
Rebounding 45.2 / 44.1 42.0 / 39.0
Steals 6.9 / 8.5 5.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 12.7 / 15.7 18.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
DET Advantage
67-29-0 (69.8%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
NY
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
DET
50-46-0 (52.1%)
Margin: 7.2 ATS +/-: +2.0
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
DET
45-50-1
O: 47.4% / U: 52.6% Total +/-: -0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
DET
NY
DET
ML
61% 114-72
55% 64-53
56% 57-45
49% 47-49
ATS
67% 124-62
53% 60-54-3
56% 57-45
49% 47-49
TTL
72% 133-53
60% 70-46-1
100% 102-0
100% 96-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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