Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Bulls NO @ CHI

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

8-32  |  Road

119
FINAL
Tue, Jan 14 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

18-21  |  Home

113
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
📊
BULLS
100%
PELICANS --
BULLS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.2
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.2 points (New Orleans)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 BullsCHI (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

50.6%

Bulls Cover

49.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

NO By 1-7 points

25.5%

NO By 8-14 points

15.6%

CHI By 1-7 points

25.2%

CHI By 8-14 points

15.1%

AI Model Projected Score
115.63
NEW ORLEANS
115.47
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
NEW ORLEANS
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 231.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Dec 31, 2025 NO @ CHI 118 - 134
Dec 14, 2025 NO @ CHI 114 - 104
Nov 24, 2025 CHI @ NO 130 - 143
Jan 14, 2025 NO @ CHI 119 - 113
Oct 23, 2024 CHI @ NO 111 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +15.2% more
New Orleans: 8.8 vs Chicago: 7.4
Free Throw % (L5) +2.1%
New Orleans: 76.4% vs Chicago: 74.3%
Assists (L5) +15.0% more
Chicago: 29.6 vs New Orleans: 25.7
Rebounding (L5) +10.3% more
Chicago: 46.9 vs New Orleans: 42.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 115.6 119
CHI Score 115.5 113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 43.0 / 40.3 32.6 / 28.0
Assists 29.6 / 25.7 31.0 / 32.0
Blocks 5.0 / 5.1 6.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 49.0 / 45.6 44.1 / 43.8
Free Throw % 74.3 / 76.4 75.0 / 80.8
Rebounding 46.9 / 42.6 57.0 / 46.0
Steals 7.4 / 8.8 8.0 / 11.0
Turnovers 12.9 / 12.6 15.0 / 10.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI Advantage
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO Advantage
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
CHI
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
NO
CHI
NO
ML
56% 54-42
62% 98-61
57% 46-35
58% 48-35
ATS
65% 62-33-1
68% 107-51-1
57% 46-35
58% 48-35
TTL
58% 56-40
75% 119-40
100% 81-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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