NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
26-15 | Road
125
PHILADELPHIA
76ERSPHI
15-23 | Home
119
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
76ERS
100%
KNICKS
--
76ERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.3
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -2.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.0%
NY By 8-14 points
19.1%
PHI By 1-7 points
22.6%
PHI By 8-14 points
11.7%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
114.22
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
111.89
PHILADELPHIA
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Philadelphia
PHILADELPHIA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 226.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
May 10, 2026
NY @ PHI
144 - 114
May 8, 2026
NY @ PHI
108 - 94
May 6, 2026
PHI @ NY
102 - 108
May 4, 2026
PHI @ NY
98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026
NY @ PHI
138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+18.1% more
New York: 44.1
vs
Philadelphia: 36.2
Assists (L5)
+13.4% more
New York: 24.7
vs
Philadelphia: 21.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.4%
New York: 49.5%
vs
Philadelphia: 45.1%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.6%
New York: 84.3%
vs
Philadelphia: 81.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
114.2
125
PHI Score
111.9
119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 34.0
37.1 / 43.2
Assists
21.4 / 24.7
27.0 / 28.0
Blocks
3.6 / 3.0
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.1 / 49.5
50.0 / 53.5
Free Throw %
81.7 / 84.3
100.0 / 70.8
Rebounding
36.2 / 44.1
35.0 / 45.0
Steals
9.2 / 6.2
8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
16.2 / 14.5
12.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
PHI
50-44-0
(53.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-: -0.8
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHI
NY
PHI
NY
ML
63%
69-40
61%
114-72
48%
45-48
56%
57-45
ATS
65%
71-38
67%
124-62
48%
45-48
56%
57-45
TTL
55%
60-49
72%
133-53
100%
93-0
100%
102-0
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