Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hornets @ Jazz CHA @ UTAH

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

8-28  |  Road

117
FINAL
Wed, Jan 15 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

10-28  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
HORNETS
100%
📊
JAZZ
0%
HORNETS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
215.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.5
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (Utah)
HornetsCHA (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hornets Cover

32.5%

Jazz Cover

67.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -4.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)

CHA By 1-7 points

19.3%

CHA By 8-14 points

8.6%

UTAH By 1-7 points

27.3%

UTAH By 8-14 points

22.4%

AI Model Projected Score
105.69
CHARLOTTE
110.24
UTAH
Simulated Score
CHARLOTTE
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Jazz Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Jazz (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -4.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 215.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 10, 2026 CHA @ UTAH 150 - 95
Nov 2, 2025 UTAH @ CHA 103 - 126
Mar 31, 2025 UTAH @ CHA 106 - 110
Jan 15, 2025 CHA @ UTAH 117 - 112
Feb 22, 2024 CHA @ UTAH 115 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +20.4% more
Utah: 4.8 vs Charlotte: 4.0
Field Goal % (L5) +2.1%
Utah: 44.0% vs Charlotte: 41.9%
Steals (L5) +20.2% more
Charlotte: 9.1 vs Utah: 7.2
Rebounding (L5) +10.4% more
Charlotte: 51.7 vs Utah: 46.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHA Score 105.7 117
UTAH Score 110.2 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 33.3 / 32.7 37.2 / 30.8
Assists 24.5 / 25.0 30.0 / 27.0
Blocks 4.8 / 4.0 4.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 44.0 / 41.9 46.2 / 52.9
Free Throw % 79.3 / 78.8 58.8 / 71.4
Rebounding 46.4 / 51.7 36.0 / 45.0
Steals 7.2 / 9.1 5.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.3 / 15.7 12.0 / 18.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
CHA
UTAH
CHA
ML
60% 96-63
61% 60-39
48% 40-43
48% 40-44
ATS
68% 108-51
60% 59-40
48% 40-43
48% 40-44
TTL
75% 119-39-1
58% 57-42
100% 83-0
100% 84-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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