PHOENIX
SUNSPHX
19-20 | Road
130
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
6-32 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
SUNS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
SUNS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
212.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Phoenix)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around PHX -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)
PHX By 1-7 points
27.1%
PHX By 8-14 points
19.4%
WSH By 1-7 points
22.3%
WSH By 8-14 points
11.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Phoenix
107.5
PHOENIX
Washington
104.97
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Phoenix
PHOENIX
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Suns
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Suns (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 212.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 11, 2026
WSH @ PHX
93 - 112
Dec 29, 2025
PHX @ WSH
115 - 101
Jan 25, 2025
WSH @ PHX
109 - 119
Jan 16, 2025
PHX @ WSH
130 - 123
Feb 4, 2024
PHX @ WSH
140 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+14.1% more
Phoenix: 5.0
vs
Washington: 4.3
Assists (L5)
+13.8% more
Phoenix: 28.9
vs
Washington: 24.9
Field Goal % (L5)
+8.5%
Phoenix: 50.1%
vs
Washington: 41.7%
Free Throw % (L5)
+3.7%
Phoenix: 76.1%
vs
Washington: 72.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHX Score
107.5
130
WSH Score
105.0
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.5 / 37.3
31.7 / 48.5
Assists
24.9 / 28.9
28.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.3 / 5.0
4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
41.7 / 50.1
50.0 / 51.8
Free Throw %
72.4 / 76.1
66.7 / 83.9
Rebounding
40.6 / 39.0
45.0 / 47.0
Steals
8.2 / 8.5
13.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
15.2 / 12.7
13.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHX
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHX
Advantage
50-38-0
(56.8%)
Margin: 0.7
ATS +/-: +1.4
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: -1.6
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
PHX
WSH
PHX
ML
70%
112-49
57%
60-45
47%
39-44
51%
45-43
ATS
69%
111-49-1
58%
59-43-3
47%
39-44
51%
45-43
TTL
74%
119-41-1
59%
61-42-2
100%
83-0
100%
88-0
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