WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
6-34 | Road
100
SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
21-20 | Home
123
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
KINGS
0%
WIZARDS
--
KINGS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
225.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.7
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.7 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around SAC -1.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
WSH By 1-7 points
23.4%
WSH By 8-14 points
12.6%
SAC By 1-7 points
26.7%
SAC By 8-14 points
18.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
111.64
WASHINGTON
Sacramento
113.32
SACRAMENTO
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Sacramento
SACRAMENTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -1.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 225.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
SAC @ WSH
112 - 116
Jan 16, 2026
WSH @ SAC
115 - 128
Apr 2, 2025
SAC @ WSH
111 - 116
Jan 19, 2025
WSH @ SAC
100 - 123
Mar 21, 2024
SAC @ WSH
102 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+28.4% more
Sacramento: 4.4
vs
Washington: 3.5
Assists (L5)
+16.6% more
Sacramento: 29.5
vs
Washington: 25.3
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.5%
Sacramento: 84.7%
vs
Washington: 70.2%
Rebounding (L5)
+11.8% more
Sacramento: 47.7
vs
Washington: 42.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
111.6
100
SAC Score
113.3
123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.2 / 39.1
30.8 / 23.8
Assists
29.5 / 25.3
28.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.4 / 3.5
4.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 44.4
48.4 / 36.0
Free Throw %
84.7 / 70.2
79.2 / 81.3
Rebounding
47.7 / 42.7
51.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.1 / 8.2
12.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
11.2 / 14.3
12.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
SAC
Advantage
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
SAC
Advantage
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SAC
WSH
SAC
WSH
ML
55%
55-45
70%
112-49
61%
50-32
47%
39-44
ATS
54%
52-45-3
69%
111-49-1
61%
50-32
47%
39-44
TTL
58%
57-42-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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