Home / NBA Projections NBA / Hawks @ Knicks ATL @ NY

ATLANTA

HAWKSATL

22-19  |  Road

110
FINAL
Mon, Jan 20 • 3:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

27-16  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
HAWKS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
HAWKS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.5
ATLANTA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.5 points (Atlanta)
HawksATL (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hawks Cover

63.7%

Knicks Cover

36.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around ATL -3.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATL)

ATL By 1-7 points

27.3%

ATL By 8-14 points

20.9%

NY By 1-7 points

20.9%

NY By 8-14 points

10.0%

AI Model Projected Score
117.61
ATLANTA
114.11
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
ATLANTA
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Hawks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Hawks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 231.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 30, 2026 NY @ ATL 140 - 89
Apr 28, 2026 ATL @ NY 97 - 126
Apr 25, 2026 NY @ ATL 114 - 98
Apr 23, 2026 NY @ ATL 108 - 109
Apr 20, 2026 ATL @ NY 107 - 106
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +48.5% more
Atlanta: 6.5 vs New York: 3.3
Steals (L5) +16.0% more
Atlanta: 9.9 vs New York: 8.3
Assists (L5) +15.2% more
Atlanta: 27.8 vs New York: 23.6
Rebounding (L5) +12.2% more
Atlanta: 49.3 vs New York: 43.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
ATL Score 117.6 110
NY Score 114.1 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 32.6 34.6 / 43.3
Assists 23.6 / 27.8 31.0 / 23.0
Blocks 3.3 / 6.5 1.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 45.3 52.2 / 47.1
Free Throw % 82.6 / 76.8 76.2 / 77.3
Rebounding 43.3 / 49.3 39.0 / 41.0
Steals 8.3 / 9.9 8.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 14.4 16.0 / 24.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATL
48-40-0 (54.6%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATL
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 1.1 ATS +/-: +0.3
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
ATL
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.1
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
ATL
NY
ATL
ML
61% 114-72
50% 52-52
56% 57-45
55% 48-40
ATS
67% 124-62
53% 55-48-1
56% 57-45
55% 48-40
TTL
72% 133-53
53% 55-48-1
100% 102-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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