Home / NBA Projections NBA / Wizards @ Lakers WSH @ LAL

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

6-35  |  Road

88
FINAL
Tue, Jan 21 • 10:30 PM ET
Crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

22-18  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
WIZARDS --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
217.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.6 points (Los Angeles)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

32.4%

Lakers Cover

67.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -4.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

WSH By 1-7 points

19.3%

WSH By 8-14 points

8.6%

LAL By 1-7 points

27.3%

LAL By 8-14 points

22.4%

AI Model Projected Score
106.27
WASHINGTON
110.83
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 217.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 WSH @ LAL 101 - 120
Jan 30, 2026 LAL @ WSH 142 - 111
Jan 30, 2025 LAL @ WSH 134 - 96
Jan 21, 2025 WSH @ LAL 88 - 111
Apr 3, 2024 LAL @ WSH 125 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +110.2% more
Los Angeles: 5.6 vs Washington: 2.6
Assists (L5) +13.0% more
Los Angeles: 26.2 vs Washington: 23.2
Field Goal % (L5) +6.9%
Los Angeles: 48.5% vs Washington: 41.6%
Free Throw % (L5) +6.0%
Los Angeles: 79.9% vs Washington: 73.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 106.3 88
LAL Score 110.8 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 35.1 / 34.0 32.4 / 25.6
Assists 26.2 / 23.2 30.0 / 25.0
Blocks 5.6 / 2.6 10.0 / 8.0
Field Goal % 48.5 / 41.6 47.8 / 35.8
Free Throw % 79.9 / 73.9 77.8 / 69.2
Rebounding 35.5 / 43.8 50.0 / 46.0
Steals 7.2 / 7.5 6.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.2 / 15.2 11.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
WSH
LAL
WSH
ML
61% 68-43
70% 112-49
54% 49-42
47% 39-44
ATS
61% 67-43-1
69% 111-49-1
54% 49-42
47% 39-44
TTL
61% 66-43-2
74% 119-41-1
100% 91-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 0 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 5 hours, 50 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Primed for MVP-Caliber Season with Lakers After Offs…
nypost 1 day ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 5 hours ago
JJ Redick Sets Record Straight on Lakers 'Pieces Fit' Comment Af…
bleacherreport 1 day, 5 hours ago