Home / NBA Projections NBA / Bulls @ Warriors CHI @ GS

CHICAGO

BULLSCHI

19-25  |  Road

106
FINAL
Thu, Jan 23 • 10:00 PM ET
Chase Center
View Odds Details →

GOLDEN STATE

WARRIORSGS

21-22  |  Home

131
AI Model Win Probability
BULLS
100%
📊
WARRIORS
0%
BULLS --
WARRIORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
0.0
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
BullsCHI (-3.5) 0 WarriorsGS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Bulls Cover

49.9%

Warriors Cover

50.1%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around GS 0.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)

CHI By 1-7 points

25.3%

CHI By 8-14 points

15.3%

GS By 1-7 points

25.4%

GS By 8-14 points

15.4%

AI Model Projected Score
110.28
CHICAGO
110.31
GOLDEN STATE
Simulated Score
CHICAGO
GOLDEN STATE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Warriors Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Warriors (+0) Win
Proj Spread: 0.0
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 220.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 10, 2026 CHI @ GS 130 - 124
Dec 7, 2025 GS @ CHI 123 - 91
Feb 8, 2025 GS @ CHI 132 - 111
Jan 23, 2025 CHI @ GS 106 - 131
Mar 7, 2024 CHI @ GS 125 - 122
Key Model Drivers
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +5.4%
Golden State: 37.6% vs Chicago: 32.2%
Blocks (L5) +32.6% more
Chicago: 5.6 vs Golden State: 3.7
Free Throw % (L5) +13.3%
Chicago: 84.1% vs Golden State: 70.8%
Steals (L5) +9.6% more
Chicago: 7.9 vs Golden State: 7.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CHI Score 110.3 106
GS Score 110.3 131
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 37.6 / 32.2 43.9 / 40.0
Assists 27.9 / 26.2 37.0 / 22.0
Blocks 3.7 / 5.6 6.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 43.5 / 44.6 45.1 / 39.1
Free Throw % 70.8 / 84.1 100.0 / 81.5
Rebounding 44.6 / 47.8 52.0 / 42.0
Steals 7.1 / 7.9 3.0 / 7.0
Turnovers 14.4 / 14.3 12.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHI
31-51-0 (37.8%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
GS Advantage
38-46-0 (45.2%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHI Advantage
39-43-0 (47.6%)
Margin: -5.2 ATS +/-: -1.9
GS
36-48-0 (42.9%)
Margin: -0.7 ATS +/-: -2.0
⚖️ Over/Under
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7% Total +/-: +0.5
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7% Total +/-: +1.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
GS
CHI
GS
CHI
ML
55% 95-79
56% 54-42
58% 49-35
57% 46-35
ATS
58% 101-73
65% 62-33-1
58% 49-35
57% 46-35
TTL
77% 134-40
58% 56-40
100% 84-0
100% 81-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Cooper Flagg and Mavericks Face Media at NBA China Games in Macao
dallasnews 1 hour, 10 minutes ago
Matt Barnes: Clippers Are Cursed, Urges Steve Ballmer to Rebrand
tmz 1 hour, 18 minutes ago
Kyrie Irving Set for Mavericks Return in China After 19-Month AC…
yahoo 7 hours, 2 minutes ago
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Declares Himself NBA's Best Player, Shru…
bleacherreport 7 hours, 14 minutes ago
Luka Doncic Embraces Lakers Legacy: 'It's an Honor, Not Pressure…
yahoo 7 hours, 17 minutes ago