WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
6-36 | Road
93
LA
CLIPPERSLAC
24-19 | Home
110
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
CLIPPERS
0%
WIZARDS
--
CLIPPERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-16.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +16.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAC -16.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
WSH By 1-7 points
3.4%
WSH By 8-14 points
0.6%
LAC By 1-7 points
12.3%
LAC By 8-14 points
23.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
99.97
WASHINGTON
LA
116.87
LA
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
LA
LA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -16.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jan 19, 2026
LAC @ WSH
110 - 106
Jan 14, 2026
WSH @ LAC
105 - 119
Jan 23, 2025
WSH @ LAC
93 - 110
Nov 27, 2024
LAC @ WSH
121 - 96
Mar 1, 2024
WSH @ LAC
115 - 140
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+24.4% more
LA: 5.5
vs
Washington: 4.4
Steals (L5)
+22.8% more
LA: 9.4
vs
Washington: 7.6
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
LA: 16.5
vs
Washington: 14.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.4%
LA: 49.1%
vs
Washington: 39.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
100.0
93
LAC Score
116.9
110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 31.2
34.2 / 23.9
Assists
24.5 / 23.8
29.0 / 24.0
Blocks
5.5 / 4.4
7.0 / 1.0
Field Goal %
49.1 / 39.7
45.5 / 34.0
Free Throw %
81.1 / 72.3
94.4 / 85.7
Rebounding
41.8 / 44.5
55.0 / 49.0
Steals
9.4 / 7.6
10.0 / 14.0
Turnovers
16.5 / 14.5
18.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
LAC
Advantage
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAC
WSH
LAC
WSH
ML
60%
59-40
70%
112-49
55%
45-37
47%
39-44
ATS
66%
65-33-1
69%
111-49-1
55%
45-37
47%
39-44
TTL
59%
58-40-1
74%
119-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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