Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pelicans @ Hornets NO @ CHA

NEW ORLEANS

PELICANSNO

12-33  |  Road

92
FINAL
Sat, Jan 25 • 7:00 PM ET
Spectrum Center
View Odds Details →

CHARLOTTE

HORNETSCHA

11-30  |  Home

123
AI Model Win Probability
PELICANS
0%
📊
HORNETS
100%
PELICANS --
HORNETS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
226.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-7.3
NEW ORLEANS
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +7.3 points (New Orleans)
PelicansNO (-3.5) 0 HornetsCHA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pelicans Cover

76.7%

Hornets Cover

23.3%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NO -7.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NO)

NO By 1-7 points

26.0%

NO By 8-14 points

25.6%

CHA By 1-7 points

14.8%

CHA By 8-14 points

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
117.1
NEW ORLEANS
109.8
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
NEW ORLEANS
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pelicans Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pelicans (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -7.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 226.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 2, 2026 NO @ CHA 95 - 102
Nov 4, 2025 CHA @ NO 112 - 116
Mar 30, 2025 CHA @ NO 94 - 98
Jan 25, 2025 NO @ CHA 92 - 123
Jan 17, 2024 CHA @ NO 112 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +16.0% more
New Orleans: 29.1 vs Charlotte: 24.5
Blocks (L5) +12.3% more
New Orleans: 5.8 vs Charlotte: 5.0
Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
New Orleans: 48.2% vs Charlotte: 43.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.7%
New Orleans: 38.8% vs Charlotte: 34.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NO Score 117.1 92
CHA Score 109.8 123
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.1 / 38.8 42.0 / 25.8
Assists 24.5 / 29.1 28.0 / 21.0
Blocks 5.0 / 5.8 5.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 43.1 / 48.2 50.0 / 38.1
Free Throw % 81.0 / 76.0 72.0 / 76.9
Rebounding 44.1 / 43.4 48.0 / 39.0
Steals 9.0 / 9.0 11.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.3 / 12.7 15.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NO
26-56-0 (31.7%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
CHA Advantage
45-39-0 (53.6%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NO
45-36-1 (55.6%)
Margin: -4.5 ATS +/-: +0.3
CHA Advantage
50-34-0 (59.5%)
Margin: 4.4 ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NO
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.7
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9% Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
NO
CHA
NO
ML
61% 60-39
62% 98-61
48% 40-44
58% 48-35
ATS
60% 59-40
68% 107-51-1
48% 40-44
58% 48-35
TTL
58% 57-42
75% 119-40
100% 84-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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