Home / NBA Projections NBA / Kings @ Knicks SAC @ NY

SACRAMENTO

KINGSSAC

23-21  |  Road

120
FINAL
Sat, Jan 25 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

29-16  |  Home

143
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
KINGS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (New York)
KingsSAC (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

31.2%

Knicks Cover

68.8%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

SAC By 1-7 points

18.7%

SAC By 8-14 points

8.1%

NY By 1-7 points

27.3%

NY By 8-14 points

22.9%

AI Model Projected Score
114.91
SACRAMENTO
119.82
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
SACRAMENTO
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 234.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 27, 2026 SAC @ NY 87 - 103
Jan 14, 2026 NY @ SAC 101 - 112
Mar 10, 2025 NY @ SAC 133 - 104
Jan 25, 2025 SAC @ NY 120 - 143
Apr 4, 2024 SAC @ NY 109 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +25.9% more
New York: 9.1 vs Sacramento: 7.3
Turnovers (L5) +18.9% more
New York: 13.3 vs Sacramento: 11.2
Blocks (L5) +39.5% more
Sacramento: 4.5 vs New York: 2.7
Rebounding (L5) +12.4% more
Sacramento: 47.8 vs New York: 41.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SAC Score 114.9 120
NY Score 119.8 143
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.3 / 36.5 47.2 / 38.9
Assists 27.0 / 28.6 40.0 / 33.0
Blocks 2.7 / 4.5 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 47.8 / 47.1 49.5 / 48.4
Free Throw % 79.9 / 82.3 95.7 / 87.5
Rebounding 41.9 / 47.8 53.0 / 38.0
Steals 9.1 / 7.3 9.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 13.3 / 11.2 11.0 / 12.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0 (43.9%)
Margin: -10.0 ATS +/-: -2.1
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +0.8
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
SAC
NY
SAC
ML
61% 114-72
55% 55-45
56% 57-45
61% 50-32
ATS
67% 124-62
54% 52-45-3
56% 57-45
61% 50-32
TTL
72% 133-53
58% 57-42-1
100% 102-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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