UTAH
JAZZUTAH
10-32 | Road
103
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
30-15 | Home
125
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
JAZZ
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
240.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around UTAH -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
UTAH By 1-7 points
25.8%
UTAH By 8-14 points
16.1%
MEM By 1-7 points
24.8%
MEM By 8-14 points
14.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Utah
120.3
UTAH
Memphis
119.79
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
Utah
UTAH
Memphis
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (-0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 240.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 10, 2026
MEM @ UTAH
101 - 147
Feb 20, 2026
UTAH @ MEM
114 - 123
Dec 23, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
137 - 128
Dec 12, 2025
UTAH @ MEM
130 - 126
Mar 25, 2025
MEM @ UTAH
140 - 103
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+26.9% more
Utah: 18.5
vs
Memphis: 13.5
Blocks (L5)
+23.7% more
Utah: 5.4
vs
Memphis: 4.1
Rebounding (L5)
+13.6% more
Utah: 50.0
vs
Memphis: 43.2
Steals (L5)
+70.3% more
Memphis: 9.0
vs
Utah: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score
120.3
103
MEM Score
119.8
125
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
40.3 / 33.2
36.8 / 25.5
Assists
32.0 / 26.1
28.0 / 27.0
Blocks
4.1 / 5.4
9.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
51.3 / 45.0
51.2 / 42.4
Free Throw %
86.9 / 73.3
73.5 / 81.3
Rebounding
43.2 / 50.0
45.0 / 40.0
Steals
9.0 / 5.3
10.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 18.5
17.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MEM
Advantage
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
UTAH
MEM
UTAH
ML
57%
59-44
60%
96-63
50%
41-41
48%
40-43
ATS
63%
65-38
68%
108-51
50%
41-41
48%
40-43
TTL
70%
71-31-1
75%
119-39-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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