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WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

6-37  |  Road

109
FINAL
Sat, Jan 25 • 9:00 PM ET
Footprint Center
View Odds Details →

PHOENIX

SUNSPHX

22-21  |  Home

119
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
📊
SUNS
0%
WIZARDS --
SUNS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.9
PHOENIX
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.9 points (Phoenix)
WizardsWSH (-3.5) 0 SunsPHX (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Wizards Cover

31.1%

Suns Cover

68.9%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around PHX -4.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PHX)

WSH By 1-7 points

18.7%

WSH By 8-14 points

8.1%

PHX By 1-7 points

27.3%

PHX By 8-14 points

22.9%

AI Model Projected Score
105.77
WASHINGTON
110.7
PHOENIX
Simulated Score
WASHINGTON
PHOENIX
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Suns Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Suns (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 216.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Jan 11, 2026 WSH @ PHX 93 - 112
Dec 29, 2025 PHX @ WSH 115 - 101
Jan 25, 2025 WSH @ PHX 109 - 119
Jan 16, 2025 PHX @ WSH 130 - 123
Feb 4, 2024 PHX @ WSH 140 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +12.7% more
Phoenix: 26.9 vs Washington: 23.9
Field Goal % (L5) +10.9%
Phoenix: 48.7% vs Washington: 37.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.5%
Phoenix: 36.2% vs Washington: 28.8%
Steals (L5) +26.0% more
Washington: 9.8 vs Phoenix: 7.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
WSH Score 105.8 109
PHX Score 110.7 119
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.2 / 28.8 32.5 / 43.9
Assists 26.9 / 23.9 23.0 / 28.0
Blocks 3.3 / 3.3 4.0 / 5.0
Field Goal % 48.7 / 37.8 44.4 / 46.7
Free Throw % 77.9 / 76.8 92.9 / 77.8
Rebounding 43.3 / 46.0 53.0 / 37.0
Steals 7.2 / 9.8 4.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 15.0 11.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHX Advantage
46-42-0 (52.3%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
PHX Advantage
50-38-0 (56.8%)
Margin: 0.7 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
PHX
40-48-0
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6% Total +/-: -1.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
PHX
WSH
PHX
WSH
ML
57% 60-45
70% 112-49
51% 45-43
47% 39-44
ATS
58% 59-43-3
69% 111-49-1
51% 45-43
47% 39-44
TTL
59% 61-42-2
74% 119-41-1
100% 88-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
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