Home / NBA Projections NBA / Grizzlies @ Knicks MEM @ NY

MEMPHIS

GRIZZLIESMEM

31-15  |  Road

106
FINAL
Mon, Jan 27 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

30-16  |  Home

143
AI Model Win Probability
GRIZZLIES
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
GRIZZLIES --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
243.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.8
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.8 points (New York)
GrizzliesMEM (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Grizzlies Cover

31.5%

Knicks Cover

68.5%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -4.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

MEM By 1-7 points

18.8%

MEM By 8-14 points

8.2%

NY By 1-7 points

27.3%

NY By 8-14 points

22.8%

AI Model Projected Score
119.19
MEMPHIS
124.02
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
MEMPHIS
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 243.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 1, 2026 NY @ MEM 130 - 119
Nov 11, 2025 MEM @ NY 120 - 133
Feb 28, 2025 NY @ MEM 114 - 113
Jan 27, 2025 MEM @ NY 106 - 143
Feb 6, 2024 MEM @ NY 113 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Free Throw % (L5) +2.7%
New York: 85.1% vs Memphis: 82.4%
Blocks (L5) +45.5% more
Memphis: 5.8 vs New York: 3.1
Turnovers (L5) +14.4% more
Memphis: 14.7 vs New York: 12.6
Field Goal % (L5) +2.9%
Memphis: 51.3% vs New York: 48.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
MEM Score 119.2 106
NY Score 124.0 143
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.6 / 39.1 38.6 / 37.5
Assists 31.4 / 30.7 32.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.1 / 5.8 7.0 / 9.0
Field Goal % 48.3 / 51.3 51.9 / 45.1
Free Throw % 85.1 / 82.4 77.8 / 88.2
Rebounding 45.6 / 43.8 46.0 / 47.0
Steals 9.1 / 9.3 20.0 / 5.0
Turnovers 12.6 / 14.7 11.0 / 26.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MEM
25-57-0 (30.5%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MEM
37-45-0 (45.1%)
Margin: -6.0 ATS +/-: -0.6
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6% Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
MEM
NY
MEM
ML
61% 114-72
57% 59-44
56% 57-45
50% 41-41
ATS
67% 124-62
63% 65-38
56% 57-45
50% 41-41
TTL
72% 133-53
70% 71-31-1
100% 102-0
100% 82-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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