LA
CLIPPERSLAC
26-20 | Road
128
SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
20-23 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
CLIPPERS
0%
SPURS
100%
CLIPPERS
--
SPURS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
218.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.9
LA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.9 points (LA)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAC -15.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAC)
LAC By 1-7 points
13.8%
LAC By 8-14 points
24.4%
SA By 1-7 points
4.1%
SA By 8-14 points
0.8%
AI Model Projected Score
LA
117.37
LA
San Antonio
101.45
SAN ANTONIO
Simulated Score
LA
LA
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Clippers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Clippers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 218.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 2, 2026
SA @ LAC
118 - 99
Mar 16, 2026
SA @ LAC
119 - 115
Mar 6, 2026
LAC @ SA
112 - 116
Apr 8, 2025
SA @ LAC
117 - 122
Jan 29, 2025
LAC @ SA
128 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+21.9% more
LA: 10.0
vs
San Antonio: 7.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+11.1%
LA: 88.6%
vs
San Antonio: 77.4%
Blocks (L5)
+39.6% more
San Antonio: 7.0
vs
LA: 5.0
Turnovers (L5)
+32.3% more
San Antonio: 18.7
vs
LA: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAC Score
117.4
128
SA Score
101.5
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.6 / 32.2
33.3 / 50.0
Assists
29.1 / 23.1
27.0 / 26.0
Blocks
7.0 / 5.0
5.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
47.5 / 47.8
48.3 / 52.7
Free Throw %
77.4 / 88.6
72.0 / 87.0
Rebounding
46.9 / 45.0
30.0 / 57.0
Steals
7.8 / 10.0
11.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
18.7 / 14.1
10.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAC
42-41-0
(50.6%)
Margin: 1.1
ATS +/-: -0.4
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
⚖️ Over/Under
LAC
41-42-0
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +2.2
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SA
LAC
SA
LAC
ML
60%
111-73
60%
59-40
58%
61-44
55%
45-37
ATS
58%
107-76-1
66%
65-33-1
58%
61-44
55%
45-37
TTL
74%
134-47-3
59%
58-40-1
100%
105-0
100%
82-0
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