Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Wizards LAL @ WSH

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

26-19  |  Road

134
FINAL
Thu, Jan 30 • 7:00 PM ET
Capital One Arena
View Odds Details →

WASHINGTON

WIZARDSWSH

6-40  |  Home

96
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
0%
📊
WIZARDS
100%
LAKERS --
WIZARDS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
205.1
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-6.1
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +6.1 points (Los Angeles)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 WizardsWSH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

72.8%

Wizards Cover

27.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAL -6.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

LAL By 1-7 points

26.8%

LAL By 8-14 points

24.3%

WSH By 1-7 points

16.8%

WSH By 8-14 points

6.8%

AI Model Projected Score
105.57
LOS ANGELES
99.51
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
LOS ANGELES
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -6.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 205.1
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 30, 2026 WSH @ LAL 101 - 120
Jan 30, 2026 LAL @ WSH 142 - 111
Jan 30, 2025 LAL @ WSH 134 - 96
Jan 21, 2025 WSH @ LAL 88 - 111
Apr 3, 2024 LAL @ WSH 125 - 120
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +14.1% more
Los Angeles: 25.6 vs Washington: 22.0
Field Goal % (L5) +10.5%
Los Angeles: 50.8% vs Washington: 40.3%
Free Throw % (L5) +7.0%
Los Angeles: 82.4% vs Washington: 75.4%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.8%
Los Angeles: 31.0% vs Washington: 27.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 105.6 134
WSH Score 99.5 96
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 27.2 / 31.0 22.7 / 46.9
Assists 22.0 / 25.6 18.0 / 31.0
Blocks 4.1 / 4.1 6.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 40.3 / 50.8 31.9 / 54.4
Free Throw % 75.4 / 82.4 82.4 / 95.5
Rebounding 43.5 / 43.1 38.0 / 48.0
Steals 7.2 / 6.6 4.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 17.1 / 16.9 15.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
WSH
17-65-0 (20.7%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
WSH
33-49-0 (40.2%)
Margin: -12.0 ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7% Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
LAL
WSH
LAL
ML
70% 112-49
61% 68-43
47% 39-44
54% 49-42
ATS
69% 111-49-1
61% 67-43-1
47% 39-44
54% 49-42
TTL
74% 119-41-1
61% 66-43-2
100% 83-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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