AI Model Win Probability
MAGIC
100%
JAZZ
0%
MAGIC
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
202.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.5
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.5 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -2.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
ORL By 1-7 points
22.4%
ORL By 8-14 points
11.4%
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.1%
UTAH By 8-14 points
19.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Orlando
99.93
ORLANDO
Utah
102.42
UTAH
Simulated Score
Orlando
ORLANDO
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 202.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 7, 2026
UTAH @ ORL
117 - 120
Dec 20, 2025
ORL @ UTAH
128 - 127
Feb 1, 2025
ORL @ UTAH
99 - 113
Jan 5, 2025
UTAH @ ORL
105 - 92
Feb 29, 2024
UTAH @ ORL
107 - 115
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5)
+22.9% more
Utah: 25.7
vs
Orlando: 20.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.8%
Utah: 34.6%
vs
Orlando: 28.8%
Free Throw % (L5)
+4.9%
Utah: 77.6%
vs
Orlando: 72.7%
Field Goal % (L5)
+4.7%
Utah: 47.4%
vs
Orlando: 42.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ORL Score
99.9
99
UTAH Score
102.4
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
34.6 / 28.8
40.0 / 22.0
Assists
25.7 / 20.9
26.0 / 19.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.9
7.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.4 / 42.7
46.4 / 33.0
Free Throw %
77.6 / 72.7
87.5 / 85.7
Rebounding
37.0 / 39.9
51.0 / 43.0
Steals
5.9 / 8.4
5.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
15.3 / 15.5
16.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ORL
Advantage
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
ORL
UTAH
ORL
ML
60%
96-63
61%
65-42
48%
40-43
56%
51-40
ATS
68%
108-51
64%
68-38-1
48%
40-43
56%
51-40
TTL
75%
119-39-1
57%
61-46
100%
83-0
100%
91-0