Home / NBA Projections NBA / Lakers @ Knicks LAL @ NY

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

27-19  |  Road

128
FINAL
Sat, Feb 1 • 8:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

32-16  |  Home

112
AI Model Win Probability
LAKERS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
LAKERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
234.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Los Angeles)
LakersLAL (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Lakers Cover

51.8%

Knicks Cover

48.2%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around LAL -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

LAL By 1-7 points

25.8%

LAL By 8-14 points

16.0%

NY By 1-7 points

24.9%

NY By 8-14 points

14.6%

AI Model Projected Score
117.5
LOS ANGELES
117.06
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
LOS ANGELES
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 234.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 8, 2026 NY @ LAL 97 - 110
Feb 1, 2026 LAL @ NY 100 - 112
Mar 6, 2025 NY @ LAL 109 - 113
Feb 1, 2025 LAL @ NY 128 - 112
Feb 3, 2024 LAL @ NY 113 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +33.0% more
Los Angeles: 15.0 vs New York: 10.0
Blocks (L5) +23.5% more
Los Angeles: 4.7 vs New York: 3.6
Free Throw % (L5) +9.4%
Los Angeles: 86.8% vs New York: 77.4%
Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
Los Angeles: 52.0% vs New York: 50.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAL Score 117.5 128
NY Score 117.1 112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.5 / 36.3 35.7 / 47.5
Assists 32.0 / 27.4 33.0 / 26.0
Blocks 3.6 / 4.7 3.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 50.2 / 52.0 46.3 / 58.0
Free Throw % 77.4 / 86.8 73.7 / 83.3
Rebounding 42.2 / 44.7 44.0 / 37.0
Steals 10.8 / 7.4 7.0 / 9.0
Turnovers 10.0 / 15.0 14.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAL
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAL
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
LAL
NY
LAL
ML
61% 114-72
61% 68-43
56% 57-45
54% 49-42
ATS
67% 124-62
61% 67-43-1
56% 57-45
54% 49-42
TTL
72% 133-53
61% 66-43-2
100% 102-0
100% 91-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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