WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
7-41 | Road
124
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
12-34 | Home
114
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
HORNETS
0%
WIZARDS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
208.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.5
CHARLOTTE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Charlotte)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around CHA -0.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHA)
WSH By 1-7 points
24.9%
WSH By 8-14 points
14.5%
CHA By 1-7 points
25.8%
CHA By 8-14 points
16.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
103.99
WASHINGTON
Charlotte
104.47
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Charlotte
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Hornets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Hornets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 208.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
CHA @ WSH
129 - 112
Jan 24, 2026
WSH @ CHA
115 - 119
Dec 23, 2025
WSH @ CHA
109 - 126
Oct 26, 2025
CHA @ WSH
139 - 113
Mar 1, 2025
WSH @ CHA
113 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+24.5% more
Charlotte: 8.0
vs
Washington: 6.4
Assists (L5)
+9.8% more
Charlotte: 24.6
vs
Washington: 22.4
Rebounding (L5)
+9.3% more
Charlotte: 46.4
vs
Washington: 42.4
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.2%
Charlotte: 42.5%
vs
Washington: 40.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
104.0
124
CHA Score
104.5
114
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
32.1 / 32.3
37.9 / 33.3
Assists
24.6 / 22.4
26.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.0 / 5.1
1.0 / 5.0
Field Goal %
42.5 / 40.3
43.8 / 44.4
Free Throw %
78.5 / 79.3
89.3 / 82.6
Rebounding
46.4 / 42.4
46.0 / 54.0
Steals
8.0 / 6.4
4.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
12.9 / 16.6
11.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
WSH
CHA
WSH
ML
61%
60-39
70%
112-49
48%
40-44
47%
39-44
ATS
60%
59-40
69%
111-49-1
48%
40-44
47%
39-44
TTL
58%
57-42
74%
119-41-1
100%
84-0
100%
83-0
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