Home / NBA Projections NBA / Rockets @ Knicks HOU @ NY

HOUSTON

ROCKETSHOU

32-16  |  Road

118
FINAL
Mon, Feb 3 • 7:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

32-17  |  Home

124
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKETS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
ROCKETS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-8.1
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +8.1 points (New York)
RocketsHOU (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockets Cover

20.8%

Knicks Cover

79.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -8.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

HOU By 1-7 points

13.5%

HOU By 8-14 points

4.7%

NY By 1-7 points

25.2%

NY By 8-14 points

26.3%

AI Model Projected Score
115.02
HOUSTON
123.16
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
HOUSTON
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -8.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 238.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 31, 2026 NY @ HOU 94 - 111
Feb 21, 2026 HOU @ NY 106 - 108
Feb 3, 2025 HOU @ NY 118 - 124
Nov 4, 2024 NY @ HOU 97 - 109
Feb 12, 2024 NY @ HOU 103 - 105
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +51.3% more
New York: 32.4 vs Houston: 21.4
Steals (L5) +23.9% more
New York: 9.6 vs Houston: 7.7
Field Goal % (L5) +5.1%
New York: 48.9% vs Houston: 43.8%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.1%
New York: 38.2% vs Houston: 35.1%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
HOU Score 115.0 118
NY Score 123.2 124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.2 / 35.1 23.1 / 28.6
Assists 32.4 / 21.4 24.0 / 27.0
Blocks 3.4 / 4.6 5.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 48.9 / 43.8 50.5 / 46.2
Free Throw % 76.1 / 74.8 80.0 / 93.3
Rebounding 42.8 / 44.4 40.0 / 50.0
Steals 9.6 / 7.7 9.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 11.4 / 13.2 14.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
HOU
54-34-0 (61.4%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.5
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
HOU
38-50-0 (43.2%)
Margin: 4.7 ATS +/-: -1.5
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
HOU
41-46-1
O: 47.1% / U: 52.9% Total +/-: -0.3
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
HOU
NY
HOU
ML
61% 114-72
61% 69-44
56% 57-45
59% 51-35
ATS
67% 124-62
62% 70-43
56% 57-45
59% 51-35
TTL
72% 133-53
51% 58-55
100% 102-0
100% 86-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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