Home / NBA Projections NBA / Pacers @ Jazz IND @ UTAH

INDIANA

PACERSIND

27-20  |  Road

112
FINAL
Mon, Feb 3 • 9:00 PM ET
Delta Center
View Odds Details →

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

11-36  |  Home

111
AI Model Win Probability
PACERS
0%
📊
JAZZ
100%
PACERS --
JAZZ --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
230.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Indiana)
PacersIND (-3.5) 0 JazzUTAH (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Pacers Cover

50.5%

Jazz Cover

49.5%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around IND -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

IND By 1-7 points

25.5%

IND By 8-14 points

15.5%

UTAH By 1-7 points

25.2%

UTAH By 8-14 points

15.1%

AI Model Projected Score
115.38
INDIANA
115.25
UTAH
Simulated Score
INDIANA
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pacers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pacers (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -0.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 230.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Feb 3, 2026 UTAH @ IND 131 - 122
Nov 11, 2025 IND @ UTAH 128 - 152
Apr 4, 2025 UTAH @ IND 112 - 140
Feb 3, 2025 IND @ UTAH 112 - 111
Jan 15, 2024 IND @ UTAH 105 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +32.3% more
Indiana: 8.3 vs Utah: 5.6
Assists (L5) +18.3% more
Indiana: 31.5 vs Utah: 25.8
Field Goal % (L5) +5.7%
Indiana: 52.8% vs Utah: 47.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.6%
Indiana: 40.0% vs Utah: 36.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
IND Score 115.4 112
UTAH Score 115.3 111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.4 / 40.0 35.1 / 23.8
Assists 25.8 / 31.5 31.0 / 32.0
Blocks 5.3 / 5.3 4.0 / 10.0
Field Goal % 47.1 / 52.8 42.9 / 47.3
Free Throw % 80.9 / 80.3 66.7 / 80.0
Rebounding 41.7 / 41.0 60.0 / 37.0
Steals 5.6 / 8.3 5.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 12.2 19.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
UTAH Advantage
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
UTAH Advantage
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
IND
UTAH
IND
ML
60% 96-63
48% 47-50
48% 40-43
54% 45-38
ATS
68% 108-51
59% 57-40
48% 40-43
54% 45-38
TTL
75% 119-39-1
54% 52-45
100% 83-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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