Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Raptors NY @ TOR

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

33-17  |  Road

121
FINAL
Tue, Feb 4 • 7:30 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

RAPTORSTOR

16-33  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
RAPTORS
100%
KNICKS --
RAPTORS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
233.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.5 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 RaptorsTOR (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

85.4%

Raptors Cover

14.6%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -10.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

22.3%

NY By 8-14 points

27.3%

TOR By 1-7 points

9.9%

TOR By 8-14 points

2.9%

AI Model Projected Score
122.2
NEW YORK
111.65
TORONTO
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -10.5
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 233.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 10, 2026 TOR @ NY 95 - 112
Mar 3, 2026 NY @ TOR 111 - 95
Jan 28, 2026 NY @ TOR 119 - 92
Dec 9, 2025 NY @ TOR 117 - 101
Nov 30, 2025 TOR @ NY 94 - 116
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +18.4% more
New York: 9.4 vs Toronto: 7.6
Blocks (L5) +44.9% more
Toronto: 5.7 vs New York: 3.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.3%
Toronto: 40.5% vs New York: 33.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 122.2 121
TOR Score 111.7 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 40.5 / 33.2 37.9 / 32.0
Assists 30.1 / 29.6 27.0 / 26.0
Blocks 5.7 / 3.9 4.0 / 4.0
Field Goal % 48.0 / 49.4 52.4 / 50.0
Free Throw % 77.7 / 77.4 94.7 / 82.6
Rebounding 43.7 / 41.9 34.0 / 43.0
Steals 7.6 / 9.4 7.0 / 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 / 12.2 14.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
TOR
49-40-0 (55.1%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
TOR
46-43-0 (51.7%)
Margin: 2.5 ATS +/-: +1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
TOR
37-52-0
O: 41.6% / U: 58.4% Total +/-: -1.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
NY
TOR
NY
ML
55% 57-47
61% 114-72
55% 48-39
56% 57-45
ATS
61% 62-40-2
67% 124-62
55% 48-39
56% 57-45
TTL
60% 62-42
72% 133-53
100% 87-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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