WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
8-41 | Road
119
BROOKLYN
NETSBKN
17-33 | Home
102
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
100%
NETS
0%
WIZARDS
--
NETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
194.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-10.3
BROOKLYN
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +10.3 points (Brooklyn)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BKN -10.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BKN)
WSH By 1-7 points
10.2%
WSH By 8-14 points
3.1%
BKN By 1-7 points
22.6%
BKN By 8-14 points
27.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
92.07
WASHINGTON
Brooklyn
102.39
BROOKLYN
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Brooklyn
BROOKLYN
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Nets
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Nets (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -10.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 194.5
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 5, 2026
WSH @ BKN
115 - 121
Feb 7, 2026
WSH @ BKN
113 - 127
Jan 2, 2026
BKN @ WSH
99 - 119
Nov 16, 2025
BKN @ WSH
129 - 106
Mar 29, 2025
BKN @ WSH
115 - 112
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+39.7% more
Brooklyn: 7.1
vs
Washington: 5.1
Steals (L5)
+36.0% more
Brooklyn: 8.5
vs
Washington: 6.3
Field Goal % (L5)
+3.3%
Brooklyn: 44.9%
vs
Washington: 41.7%
Rebounding (L5)
+10.4% more
Washington: 46.3
vs
Brooklyn: 41.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
92.1
119
BKN Score
102.4
102
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
33.9 / 32.6
34.2 / 46.5
Assists
24.2 / 24.6
26.0 / 40.0
Blocks
7.1 / 5.1
3.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
44.9 / 41.7
43.4 / 54.3
Free Throw %
76.0 / 80.4
73.9 / 78.6
Rebounding
41.5 / 46.3
37.0 / 40.0
Steals
8.5 / 6.3
7.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
13.5 / 14.7
10.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BKN
Advantage
20-62-0
(24.4%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
BKN
Advantage
38-43-1
(46.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -1.3
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
BKN
37-45-0
O: 45.1% / U: 54.9%
Total +/-: -0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BKN
WSH
BKN
WSH
ML
53%
50-45
70%
112-49
59%
48-34
47%
39-44
ATS
52%
48-44-3
69%
111-49-1
59%
48-34
47%
39-44
TTL
57%
54-41
74%
119-41-1
100%
82-0
100%
83-0
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