CLEVELAND
CAVALIERSCLE
41-10 | Road
134
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
9-41 | Home
124
AI Model Win Probability
CAVALIERS
0%
WIZARDS
100%
CAVALIERS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
220.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-12.9
CLEVELAND
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +12.9 points (Cleveland)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around CLE -12.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CLE)
CLE By 1-7 points
18.7%
CLE By 8-14 points
26.9%
WSH By 1-7 points
6.9%
WSH By 8-14 points
1.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Cleveland
116.74
CLEVELAND
Washington
103.82
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Cleveland
CLEVELAND
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Cavaliers (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -12.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 220.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 12, 2026
WSH @ CLE
117 - 130
Feb 11, 2026
WSH @ CLE
113 - 138
Dec 12, 2025
CLE @ WSH
130 - 126
Nov 7, 2025
CLE @ WSH
148 - 115
Feb 7, 2025
CLE @ WSH
134 - 124
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+8.6% more
Cleveland: 6.8
vs
Washington: 6.2
Rebounding (L5)
+8.3% more
Cleveland: 48.2
vs
Washington: 44.2
Field Goal % (L5)
+2.9%
Cleveland: 48.8%
vs
Washington: 45.9%
Free Throw % (L5)
+2.4%
Cleveland: 82.2%
vs
Washington: 79.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CLE Score
116.7
134
WSH Score
103.8
124
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.3 / 39.0
36.4 / 42.1
Assists
29.8 / 28.1
25.0 / 32.0
Blocks
4.4 / 4.7
2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal %
45.9 / 48.8
48.9 / 51.1
Free Throw %
79.8 / 82.2
64.0 / 91.7
Rebounding
44.2 / 48.2
40.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.2 / 6.8
8.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
14.8 / 15.4
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CLE
Advantage
60-40-0
(60.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CLE
40-60-0
(40.0%)
Margin: 2.8
ATS +/-: -2.4
WSH
Advantage
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0%
Total +/-: +0.9
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
CLE
WSH
CLE
ML
70%
112-49
60%
69-46
47%
39-44
56%
55-44
ATS
69%
111-49-1
67%
75-37-3
47%
39-44
56%
55-44
TTL
74%
119-41-1
59%
68-47
100%
83-0
100%
99-0
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