SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
22-27 | Road
111
ORLANDO
MAGICORL
25-28 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
MAGIC
0%
SPURS
--
MAGIC
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
216.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.9
ORLANDO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.9 points (Orlando)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around ORL -2.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ORL)
SA By 1-7 points
21.8%
SA By 8-14 points
10.8%
ORL By 1-7 points
27.2%
ORL By 8-14 points
20.0%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
106.83
SAN ANTONIO
Orlando
109.73
ORLANDO
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Orlando
ORLANDO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Magic
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Magic (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 216.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 1, 2026
ORL @ SA
103 - 112
Dec 3, 2025
SA @ ORL
114 - 112
Apr 1, 2025
ORL @ SA
116 - 105
Feb 8, 2025
SA @ ORL
111 - 112
Oct 9, 2024
ORL @ SA
97 - 107
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+17.9% more
Orlando: 5.3
vs
San Antonio: 4.5
Assists (L5)
+22.5% more
San Antonio: 29.8
vs
Orlando: 23.1
Steals (L5)
+10.1% more
San Antonio: 9.8
vs
Orlando: 8.8
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+5.3%
San Antonio: 33.7%
vs
Orlando: 28.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
106.8
111
ORL Score
109.7
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
28.4 / 33.7
33.3 / 43.3
Assists
23.1 / 29.8
19.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.3 / 4.5
1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
43.0 / 46.8
51.1 / 53.2
Free Throw %
76.5 / 77.8
60.0 / 80.0
Rebounding
41.0 / 42.6
45.0 / 34.0
Steals
8.8 / 9.8
10.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
12.7 / 11.9
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
ORL
49-42-0
(53.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
ORL
43-48-0
(47.3%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-: -1.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
ORL
47-44-0
O: 51.7% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ORL
SA
ORL
SA
ML
61%
65-42
60%
111-73
56%
51-40
58%
61-44
ATS
64%
68-38-1
58%
107-76-1
56%
51-40
58%
61-44
TTL
57%
61-46
74%
134-47-3
100%
91-0
100%
105-0
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