GOLDEN STATE
WARRIORSGS
25-26 | Road
132
CHICAGO
BULLSCHI
22-30 | Home
111
AI Model Win Probability
WARRIORS
0%
BULLS
100%
WARRIORS
--
BULLS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
223.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.1
GOLDEN STATE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.1 points (Golden State)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around GS -2.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GS)
GS By 1-7 points
26.9%
GS By 8-14 points
18.7%
CHI By 1-7 points
22.9%
CHI By 8-14 points
12.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Golden State
112.85
GOLDEN STATE
Chicago
110.73
CHICAGO
Simulated Score
Golden State
GOLDEN STATE
Chicago
CHICAGO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Warriors
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Warriors (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -2.1
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 223.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
CHI @ GS
130 - 124
Dec 7, 2025
GS @ CHI
123 - 91
Feb 8, 2025
GS @ CHI
132 - 111
Jan 23, 2025
CHI @ GS
106 - 131
Mar 7, 2024
CHI @ GS
125 - 122
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+15.1% more
Golden State: 7.8
vs
Chicago: 6.6
Blocks (L5)
+58.7% more
Chicago: 4.8
vs
Golden State: 3.1
Turnovers (L5)
+11.7% more
Chicago: 13.1
vs
Golden State: 11.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.9%
Chicago: 80.5%
vs
Golden State: 71.6%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
GS Score
112.9
132
CHI Score
110.7
111
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
38.2 / 33.2
43.6 / 39.6
Assists
29.2 / 29.2
24.0 / 34.0
Blocks
4.8 / 3.1
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
48.2 / 42.8
44.3 / 50.0
Free Throw %
80.5 / 71.6
77.4 / 85.2
Rebounding
42.0 / 42.5
31.0 / 44.0
Steals
6.6 / 7.8
8.0 / 8.0
Turnovers
13.1 / 11.7
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GS
Advantage
38-46-0
(45.2%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
CHI
31-51-0
(37.8%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GS
36-48-0
(42.9%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-: -2.0
CHI
Advantage
39-43-0
(47.6%)
Margin: -5.2
ATS +/-: -1.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GS
49-35-0
O: 58.3% / U: 41.7%
Total +/-: +1.9
CHI
38-44-0
O: 46.3% / U: 53.7%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
GS
CHI
GS
ML
56%
54-42
55%
95-79
57%
46-35
58%
49-35
ATS
65%
62-33-1
58%
101-73
57%
46-35
58%
49-35
TTL
58%
56-40
77%
134-40
100%
81-0
100%
84-0
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