Home / NBA Projections NBA / Celtics @ Knicks BOS @ NY

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

36-16  |  Road

131
FINAL
Sat, Feb 8 • 8:30 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

34-17  |  Home

104
AI Model Win Probability
CELTICS
0%
📊
KNICKS
100%
CELTICS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
239.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.3
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.3 points (Boston)
CelticsBOS (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Celtics Cover

66.6%

Knicks Cover

33.4%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around BOS -4.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

BOS By 1-7 points

27.4%

BOS By 8-14 points

22.0%

NY By 1-7 points

19.7%

NY By 8-14 points

8.9%

AI Model Projected Score
122.04
BOSTON
117.75
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
BOSTON
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (-0) Win
Proj Spread: -4.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 239.8
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 BOS @ NY 106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026 NY @ BOS 111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025 NY @ BOS 117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025 BOS @ NY 95 - 105
May 16, 2025 BOS @ NY 81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +34.9% more
Boston: 6.1 vs New York: 4.0
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +7.3%
Boston: 40.1% vs New York: 32.8%
Steals (L5) +63.5% more
New York: 9.6 vs Boston: 5.9
Field Goal % (L5) +1.9%
New York: 49.6% vs Boston: 47.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
BOS Score 122.0 131
NY Score 117.8 104
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 32.8 / 40.1 37.5 / 48.7
Assists 28.4 / 29.4 16.0 / 21.0
Blocks 4.0 / 6.1 1.0 / 7.0
Field Goal % 49.6 / 47.7 42.2 / 54.1
Free Throw % 79.2 / 80.3 86.2 / 83.3
Rebounding 42.2 / 42.9 30.0 / 48.0
Steals 9.6 / 5.9 9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 12.5 / 12.0 9.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
BOS
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
BOS
NY
BOS
ML
61% 114-72
57% 61-46
56% 57-45
53% 47-41
ATS
67% 124-62
59% 61-43-3
56% 57-45
53% 47-41
TTL
72% 133-53
56% 60-47
100% 102-0
100% 88-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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