Home / NBA Projections NBA / Jazz @ Lakers UTAH @ LAL

UTAH

JAZZUTAH

12-39  |  Road

113
FINAL
Mon, Feb 10 • 10:30 PM ET
Crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

LAKERSLAL

31-19  |  Home

132
AI Model Win Probability
JAZZ
100%
📊
LAKERS
0%
JAZZ --
LAKERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
231.9
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-11.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +11.8 points (Los Angeles)
JazzUTAH (-3.5) 0 LakersLAL (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Jazz Cover

11.8%

Lakers Cover

88.2%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around LAL -11.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAL)

UTAH By 1-7 points

8.2%

UTAH By 8-14 points

2.2%

LAL By 1-7 points

20.4%

LAL By 8-14 points

27.3%

AI Model Projected Score
110.02
UTAH
121.85
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
UTAH
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Lakers Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Lakers (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -11.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 231.9
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 12, 2026 UTAH @ LAL 107 - 131
Dec 18, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 143 - 135
Nov 23, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 108 - 106
Nov 18, 2025 UTAH @ LAL 126 - 140
Feb 12, 2025 LAL @ UTAH 119 - 131
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5) +27.6% more
Los Angeles: 7.4 vs Utah: 5.8
Field Goal % (L5) +6.7%
Los Angeles: 52.8% vs Utah: 46.1%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +3.4%
Los Angeles: 38.4% vs Utah: 35.0%
Blocks (L5) +23.3% more
Utah: 5.1 vs Los Angeles: 3.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTAH Score 110.0 113
LAL Score 121.9 132
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 38.4 / 35.0 35.7 / 30.0
Assists 28.3 / 27.7 28.0 / 29.0
Blocks 3.9 / 5.1 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 52.8 / 46.1 54.3 / 46.4
Free Throw % 82.7 / 82.4 94.4 / 85.2
Rebounding 45.7 / 47.9 44.0 / 39.0
Steals 7.4 / 5.8 11.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 14.8 / 16.2 13.0 / 19.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
UTAH
22-60-0 (26.8%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
LAL Advantage
57-35-0 (62.0%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
🎯 ATS (Spread)
UTAH
41-41-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.4 ATS +/-: -0.2
LAL Advantage
51-41-0 (55.4%)
Margin: 1.0 ATS +/-: -0.1
⚖️ Over/Under
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2% Total +/-: +5.7
LAL
46-46-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -0.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAL
UTAH
LAL
UTAH
ML
61% 68-43
60% 96-63
54% 49-42
48% 40-43
ATS
61% 67-43-1
68% 108-51
54% 49-42
48% 40-43
TTL
61% 66-43-2
75% 119-39-1
100% 91-0
100% 83-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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