Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Pacers NY @ IND

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

34-18  |  Road

128
FINAL
Tue, Feb 11 • 7:30 PM ET
Gainbridge Fieldhouse
View Odds Details →

INDIANA

PACERSIND

29-22  |  Home

115
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
PACERS
0%
KNICKS --
PACERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
235.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.3
INDIANA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.3 points (Indiana)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 PacersIND (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

17.6%

Pacers Cover

82.4%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around IND -9.3 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (IND)

NY By 1-7 points

11.7%

NY By 8-14 points

3.8%

IND By 1-7 points

23.9%

IND By 8-14 points

27.0%

AI Model Projected Score
113.03
NEW YORK
122.33
INDIANA
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
INDIANA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Pacers Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Pacers (+0) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.3
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 235.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Mar 17, 2026 IND @ NY 110 - 136
Mar 13, 2026 NY @ IND 101 - 92
Feb 10, 2026 IND @ NY 137 - 134
Dec 18, 2025 NY @ IND 114 - 113
May 31, 2025 NY @ IND 108 - 125
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +43.4% more
Indiana: 4.3 vs New York: 3.0
Assists (L5) +19.5% more
Indiana: 29.0 vs New York: 24.3
Steals (L5) +14.8% more
Indiana: 10.8 vs New York: 9.4
Free Throw % (L5) +4.4%
Indiana: 85.9% vs New York: 81.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 113.0 128
IND Score 122.3 115
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 31.3 / 34.4 29.0 / 37.0
Assists 29.0 / 24.3 32.0 / 37.0
Blocks 4.3 / 3.0 3.0 / 2.0
Field Goal % 45.6 / 47.2 48.3 / 53.8
Free Throw % 85.9 / 81.5 76.9 / 87.0
Rebounding 40.4 / 38.2 36.0 / 48.0
Steals 10.8 / 9.4 8.0 / 6.0
Turnovers 11.6 / 11.3 10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
19-63-0 (23.2%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
IND
40-42-0 (48.8%)
Margin: -8.0 ATS +/-: -1.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
IND
41-41-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
IND
NY
IND
NY
ML
48% 47-50
61% 114-72
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
ATS
59% 57-40
67% 124-62
54% 45-38
56% 57-45
TTL
54% 52-45
72% 133-53
100% 83-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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