SAN ANTONIO
SPURSSA
23-28 | Road
103
BOSTON
CELTICSBOS
38-16 | Home
116
AI Model Win Probability
SPURS
100%
CELTICS
0%
SPURS
--
CELTICS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.2
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-15.8
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +15.8 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -15.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
SA By 1-7 points
4.1%
SA By 8-14 points
0.9%
BOS By 1-7 points
13.9%
BOS By 8-14 points
24.4%
AI Model Projected Score
San Antonio
111.17
SAN ANTONIO
Boston
127.02
BOSTON
Simulated Score
San Antonio
SAN ANTONIO
Boston
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Celtics
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Celtics (+0)
Win
Proj Spread: -15.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.2
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 10, 2026
BOS @ SA
116 - 125
Jan 10, 2026
SA @ BOS
100 - 95
Mar 29, 2025
BOS @ SA
121 - 111
Feb 12, 2025
SA @ BOS
103 - 116
Jan 17, 2024
SA @ BOS
98 - 117
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+21.3% more
Boston: 5.9
vs
San Antonio: 4.9
Rebounding (L5)
+15.4% more
Boston: 47.1
vs
San Antonio: 40.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+7.5%
Boston: 87.5%
vs
San Antonio: 80.0%
Steals (L5)
+48.6% more
San Antonio: 10.3
vs
Boston: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SA Score
111.2
103
BOS Score
127.0
116
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
39.3 / 39.5
32.7 / 23.1
Assists
25.8 / 28.6
25.0 / 30.0
Blocks
5.9 / 4.9
5.0 / 2.0
Field Goal %
48.5 / 49.7
46.2 / 43.8
Free Throw %
87.5 / 80.0
66.7 / 83.3
Rebounding
47.1 / 40.8
56.0 / 38.0
Steals
5.3 / 10.3
3.0 / 9.0
Turnovers
10.5 / 12.4
17.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SA
Advantage
75-31-0
(70.8%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BOS
59-30-0
(66.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SA
Advantage
60-44-2
(57.7%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.2
BOS
51-38-0
(57.3%)
Margin: 7.3
ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SA
49-57-0
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: -1.1
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0%
Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
SA
BOS
SA
ML
57%
61-46
60%
111-73
53%
47-41
58%
61-44
ATS
59%
61-43-3
58%
107-76-1
53%
47-41
58%
61-44
TTL
56%
60-47
74%
134-47-3
100%
88-0
100%
105-0
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
Bill Self's Revamped Kansas Roster Built for Another National Ti…
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Takes Blame for Thunder's Game 7 Loss, B…
Wallabies Select Suaalii on Wing, Henry to Debut in Bledisloe Cu…