Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Cavaliers NY @ CLE

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

37-18  |  Road

105
FINAL
Fri, Feb 21 • 7:00 PM ET
Rocket Arena
View Odds Details →

CLEVELAND

CAVALIERSCLE

45-10  |  Home

142
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
📊
CAVALIERS
100%
KNICKS --
CAVALIERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
250.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.9
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.9 points (New York)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 CavaliersCLE (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

65.1%

Cavaliers Cover

34.9%

-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -3.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

NY By 1-7 points

27.4%

NY By 8-14 points

21.4%

CLE By 1-7 points

20.3%

CLE By 8-14 points

9.5%

AI Model Projected Score
127.29
NEW YORK
123.42
CLEVELAND
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
CLEVELAND
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (-0) Loss
Proj Spread: -3.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 250.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 25, 2026 NY @ CLE 130 - 93
May 23, 2026 NY @ CLE 121 - 108
May 21, 2026 CLE @ NY 93 - 109
May 19, 2026 CLE @ NY 104 - 115
Feb 24, 2026 NY @ CLE 94 - 109
Key Model Drivers
Field Goal % (L5) +1.8%
New York: 49.0% vs Cleveland: 47.2%
Rebounding (L5) +11.9% more
Cleveland: 50.4 vs New York: 45.1
Turnovers (L5) +10.2% more
Cleveland: 15.5 vs New York: 14.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 127.3 105
CLE Score 123.4 142
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 34.7 / 35.2 51.4 / 35.7
Assists 26.6 / 28.2 38.0 / 25.0
Blocks 4.5 / 4.6 2.0 / 3.0
Field Goal % 47.2 / 49.0 60.9 / 47.2
Free Throw % 78.8 / 78.4 73.3 / 61.1
Rebounding 50.4 / 45.1 47.0 / 32.0
Steals 8.8 / 8.3 12.0 / 8.0
Turnovers 15.5 / 14.1 15.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
60-40-0 (60.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
CLE
40-60-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 2.8 ATS +/-: -2.4
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
CLE
52-48-0
O: 52.0% / U: 48.0% Total +/-: +0.9
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CLE
NY
CLE
NY
ML
60% 69-46
61% 114-72
56% 55-44
56% 57-45
ATS
67% 75-37-3
67% 124-62
56% 55-44
56% 57-45
TTL
59% 68-47
72% 133-53
100% 99-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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