Home / NBA Projections NBA / Knicks @ Celtics NY @ BOS

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

37-19  |  Road

105
FINAL
Sun, Feb 23 • 1:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

CELTICSBOS

40-16  |  Home

118
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
100%
📊
CELTICS
0%
KNICKS --
CELTICS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.8
BOSTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.8 points (Boston)
KnicksNY (-3.5) 0 CelticsBOS (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Knicks Cover

16.4%

Celtics Cover

83.6%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around BOS -9.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)

NY By 1-7 points

11.0%

NY By 8-14 points

3.4%

BOS By 1-7 points

23.3%

BOS By 8-14 points

27.2%

AI Model Projected Score
114.47
NEW YORK
124.25
BOSTON
Simulated Score
NEW YORK
BOSTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Celtics Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Celtics (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -9.8
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 238.7
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Apr 9, 2026 BOS @ NY 106 - 112
Feb 8, 2026 NY @ BOS 111 - 89
Dec 2, 2025 NY @ BOS 117 - 123
Oct 24, 2025 BOS @ NY 95 - 105
May 16, 2025 BOS @ NY 81 - 119
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5) +40.7% more
Boston: 5.7 vs New York: 4.1
Rebounding (L5) +22.1% more
Boston: 49.7 vs New York: 40.7
Free Throw % (L5) +12.2%
Boston: 84.8% vs New York: 72.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +4.2%
Boston: 39.6% vs New York: 35.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NY Score 114.5 105
BOS Score 124.3 118
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 39.6 / 35.4 38.6 / 38.9
Assists 28.0 / 27.2 27.0 / 21.0
Blocks 5.7 / 4.1 5.0 / 1.0
Field Goal % 47.9 / 48.4 49.5 / 43.5
Free Throw % 84.8 / 72.6 100.0 / 100.0
Rebounding 49.7 / 40.7 49.0 / 40.0
Steals 4.0 / 8.2 8.0 / 4.0
Turnovers 12.1 / 15.0 12.0 / 11.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS
59-30-0 (66.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
BOS Advantage
51-38-0 (57.3%)
Margin: 7.3 ATS +/-: +2.2
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
BOS
32-57-0
O: 36.0% / U: 64.0% Total +/-: -3.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NY
BOS
NY
ML
57% 61-46
61% 114-72
53% 47-41
56% 57-45
ATS
59% 61-43-3
67% 124-62
53% 47-41
56% 57-45
TTL
56% 60-47
72% 133-53
100% 88-0
100% 102-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Tyler Kolek's Girlfriend Spills: Knicks Parade Police Mix-Up Hap…
nypost 29 minutes ago
Boston Celtics' Young Wings Face Huge Opportunity After Jaylen B…
yahoo 6 hours, 47 minutes ago
Adam Fox Quietly Dominating as Rangers Surge Early in 2026-27
si 13 hours ago
Anonymous NBA Scout Shuts Down JJ Redick's Lakers Title Hopes wi…
bleacherreport 1 day, 6 hours ago
Cavs 2026-27 Viewing Guide: DAZN, National TV, and Free Over-the…
yahoo 1 day, 12 hours ago