PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
24-33 | Road
114
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
14-42 | Home
112
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
JAZZ
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.4
UTAH
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.4 points (Utah)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around UTAH -4.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (UTAH)
POR By 1-7 points
19.5%
POR By 8-14 points
8.8%
UTAH By 1-7 points
27.3%
UTAH By 8-14 points
22.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
112.46
PORTLAND
Utah
116.86
UTAH
Simulated Score
Portland
PORTLAND
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Jazz
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Jazz (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -4.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 229.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 13, 2026
UTAH @ POR
114 - 124
Feb 12, 2026
POR @ UTAH
135 - 119
Jan 5, 2026
UTAH @ POR
117 - 137
Oct 29, 2025
POR @ UTAH
136 - 134
Oct 16, 2025
POR @ UTAH
129 - 132
Key Model Drivers
Rebounding (L5)
+8.9% more
Utah: 49.5
vs
Portland: 45.4
Blocks (L5)
+47.8% more
Portland: 6.2
vs
Utah: 3.3
Steals (L5)
+40.9% more
Portland: 10.3
vs
Utah: 6.1
Free Throw % (L5)
+8.2%
Portland: 73.4%
vs
Utah: 65.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
112.5
114
UTAH Score
116.9
112
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.1 / 38.6
40.9 / 31.8
Assists
27.3 / 29.3
24.0 / 26.0
Blocks
3.3 / 6.2
2.0 / 6.0
Field Goal %
48.3 / 49.3
39.8 / 41.8
Free Throw %
65.2 / 73.4
84.2 / 75.0
Rebounding
49.5 / 45.4
45.0 / 51.0
Steals
6.1 / 10.3
7.0 / 7.0
Turnovers
15.8 / 16.5
15.0 / 14.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
UTAH
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
POR
UTAH
POR
ML
60%
96-63
53%
56-49
48%
40-43
55%
49-40
ATS
68%
108-51
62%
65-39-1
48%
40-43
55%
49-40
TTL
75%
119-39-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
83-0
100%
89-0
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