PORTLAND
TRAIL BLAZERSPOR
25-33 | Road
129
WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
10-47 | Home
121
AI Model Win Probability
TRAIL BLAZERS
100%
WIZARDS
0%
TRAIL BLAZERS
--
WIZARDS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
222.0
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.4
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.4 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around WSH -0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
POR By 1-7 points
24.9%
POR By 8-14 points
14.6%
WSH By 1-7 points
25.8%
WSH By 8-14 points
16.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Portland
110.77
PORTLAND
Washington
111.21
WASHINGTON
Simulated Score
Portland
PORTLAND
Washington
WASHINGTON
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wizards
Loss
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wizards (+0)
Loss
Proj Spread: -0.4
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 222.0
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 29, 2026
WSH @ POR
88 - 123
Jan 27, 2026
POR @ WSH
111 - 115
Mar 17, 2025
WSH @ POR
97 - 112
Feb 26, 2025
POR @ WSH
129 - 121
Apr 5, 2024
POR @ WSH
108 - 102
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5)
+23.3% more
Washington: 19.3
vs
Portland: 15.7
Free Throw % (L5)
+9.3%
Washington: 83.2%
vs
Portland: 73.9%
Steals (L5)
+29.6% more
Portland: 9.2
vs
Washington: 6.5
Rebounding (L5)
+15.5% more
Portland: 47.3
vs
Washington: 40.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
POR Score
110.8
129
WSH Score
111.2
121
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
35.7 / 36.3
33.3 / 32.4
Assists
25.5 / 28.2
25.0 / 27.0
Blocks
5.4 / 6.2
8.0 / 4.0
Field Goal %
45.8 / 46.8
51.8 / 44.6
Free Throw %
83.2 / 73.9
69.7 / 77.1
Rebounding
40.0 / 47.3
41.0 / 46.0
Steals
6.5 / 9.2
9.0 / 11.0
Turnovers
19.3 / 15.7
19.0 / 17.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
POR
Advantage
44-44-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
POR
Advantage
46-42-0
(52.3%)
Margin: -0.9
ATS +/-: -0.4
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
⚖️ Over/Under
POR
44-44-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0%
Total +/-: -1.0
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
WSH
POR
WSH
POR
ML
70%
112-49
53%
56-49
47%
39-44
55%
49-40
ATS
69%
111-49-1
62%
65-39-1
47%
39-44
55%
49-40
TTL
74%
119-41-1
56%
58-46-1
100%
83-0
100%
89-0
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