Home / NBA Projections NBA / 76ers @ Knicks PHI @ NY

PHILADELPHIA

76ERSPHI

20-37  |  Road

105
FINAL
Wed, Feb 26 • 7:00 PM ET
Madison Square Garden
View Odds Details →

NEW YORK

KNICKSNY

37-20  |  Home

110
AI Model Win Probability
76ERS
100%
📊
KNICKS
0%
76ERS --
KNICKS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
229.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 0%
Under 0 100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.6 points (New York)
76ersPHI (-3.5) 0 KnicksNY (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

76ers Cover

43.7%

Knicks Cover

56.3%

+30+20+100-10-20-30
Distribution centered around NY -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)

PHI By 1-7 points

23.6%

PHI By 8-14 points

12.8%

NY By 1-7 points

26.6%

NY By 8-14 points

17.9%

AI Model Projected Score
114.03
PHILADELPHIA
115.61
NEW YORK
Simulated Score
PHILADELPHIA
NEW YORK
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Knicks Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Knicks (+0) Win
Proj Spread: -1.6
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o0 Win
Proj Total: 229.6
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
May 10, 2026 NY @ PHI 144 - 114
May 8, 2026 NY @ PHI 108 - 94
May 6, 2026 PHI @ NY 102 - 108
May 4, 2026 PHI @ NY 98 - 137
Feb 11, 2026 NY @ PHI 138 - 89
Key Model Drivers
Assists (L5) +14.8% more
New York: 25.1 vs Philadelphia: 21.9
3pt Field Goal % (L5) +10.4%
New York: 36.5% vs Philadelphia: 26.2%
Field Goal % (L5) +4.6%
New York: 46.8% vs Philadelphia: 42.2%
Blocks (L5) +31.0% more
Philadelphia: 4.4 vs New York: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 114.0 105
NY Score 115.6 110
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal % 36.5 / 26.2 36.8 / 32.4
Assists 25.1 / 21.9 22.0 / 21.0
Blocks 3.1 / 4.4 8.0 / 6.0
Field Goal % 46.8 / 42.2 51.9 / 44.3
Free Throw % 81.8 / 87.2 79.3 / 80.0
Rebounding 40.5 / 43.7 43.0 / 35.0
Steals 6.8 / 9.3 6.0 / 13.0
Turnovers 13.7 / 14.0 16.0 / 13.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
70-32-0 (68.6%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
50-44-0 (53.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-: -0.8
NY Advantage
58-44-0 (56.9%)
Margin: 8.0 ATS +/-: +3.5
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
44-50-0
O: 46.8% / U: 53.2% Total +/-: +1.4
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9% Total +/-: -1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NY
PHI
NY
PHI
ML
61% 114-72
63% 69-40
56% 57-45
48% 45-48
ATS
67% 124-62
65% 71-38
56% 57-45
48% 45-48
TTL
72% 133-53
55% 60-49
100% 102-0
100% 93-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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