SACRAMENTO
KINGSSAC
29-28 | Road
118
UTAH
JAZZUTAH
14-43 | Home
101
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
0%
JAZZ
100%
KINGS
--
JAZZ
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
228.4
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-5.9
SACRAMENTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +5.9 points (Sacramento)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around SAC -5.9 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SAC)
SAC By 1-7 points
26.9%
SAC By 8-14 points
24.1%
UTAH By 1-7 points
17.1%
UTAH By 8-14 points
7.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Sacramento
117.15
SACRAMENTO
Utah
111.28
UTAH
Simulated Score
Sacramento
SACRAMENTO
Utah
UTAH
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Kings
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kings (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -5.9
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 228.4
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Mar 15, 2026
UTAH @ SAC
111 - 116
Feb 11, 2026
SAC @ UTAH
93 - 121
Nov 28, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
119 - 128
Oct 24, 2025
UTAH @ SAC
104 - 105
Feb 26, 2025
SAC @ UTAH
118 - 101
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.9% more
Sacramento: 8.6
vs
Utah: 6.4
Blocks (L5)
+25.1% more
Sacramento: 3.8
vs
Utah: 2.8
Free Throw % (L5)
+14.2%
Sacramento: 85.7%
vs
Utah: 71.5%
Turnovers (L5)
+13.7% more
Sacramento: 18.0
vs
Utah: 15.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SAC Score
117.2
118
UTAH Score
111.3
101
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
37.0 / 40.5
36.4 / 41.7
Assists
26.2 / 29.2
32.0 / 28.0
Blocks
2.8 / 3.8
2.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
45.5 / 50.1
45.2 / 52.9
Free Throw %
71.5 / 85.7
52.9 / 91.7
Rebounding
48.0 / 47.7
34.0 / 47.0
Steals
6.4 / 8.6
9.0 / 6.0
Turnovers
15.5 / 18.0
10.0 / 16.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SAC
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
22-60-0
(26.8%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SAC
36-46-0
(43.9%)
Margin: -10.0
ATS +/-: -2.1
UTAH
Advantage
41-41-0
(50.0%)
Margin: -8.4
ATS +/-: -0.2
⚖️ Over/Under
SAC
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +0.8
UTAH
49-33-0
O: 59.8% / U: 40.2%
Total +/-: +5.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
UTAH
SAC
UTAH
SAC
ML
60%
96-63
55%
55-45
48%
40-43
61%
50-32
ATS
68%
108-51
54%
52-45-3
48%
40-43
61%
50-32
TTL
75%
119-39-1
58%
57-42-1
100%
83-0
100%
82-0
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