NEW YORK
KNICKSNY
38-20 | Road
114
MEMPHIS
GRIZZLIESMEM
38-20 | Home
113
AI Model Win Probability
KNICKS
0%
GRIZZLIES
100%
KNICKS
--
GRIZZLIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
238.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-4.2
NEW YORK
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.2 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around NY -4.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NY)
NY By 1-7 points
27.4%
NY By 8-14 points
21.8%
MEM By 1-7 points
19.9%
MEM By 8-14 points
9.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
121.23
NEW YORK
Memphis
117.08
MEMPHIS
Simulated Score
New York
NEW YORK
Memphis
MEMPHIS
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Knicks
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Knicks (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -4.2
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 238.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Apr 1, 2026
NY @ MEM
130 - 119
Nov 11, 2025
MEM @ NY
120 - 133
Feb 28, 2025
NY @ MEM
114 - 113
Jan 27, 2025
MEM @ NY
106 - 143
Feb 6, 2024
MEM @ NY
113 - 123
Key Model Drivers
Steals (L5)
+25.2% more
Memphis: 8.2
vs
New York: 6.5
Assists (L5)
+20.6% more
Memphis: 29.0
vs
New York: 24.1
Blocks (L5)
+9.6% more
Memphis: 5.2
vs
New York: 4.7
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NY Score
121.2
114
MEM Score
117.1
113
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
36.8 / 36.6
12.9 / 34.2
Assists
29.0 / 24.1
26.0 / 29.0
Blocks
5.2 / 4.7
4.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
47.3 / 48.5
46.8 / 46.3
Free Throw %
80.6 / 80.9
95.5 / 81.3
Rebounding
42.8 / 41.3
58.0 / 35.0
Steals
8.2 / 6.5
2.0 / 10.0
Turnovers
13.9 / 14.5
19.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NY
Advantage
70-32-0
(68.6%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
MEM
25-57-0
(30.5%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NY
Advantage
58-44-0
(56.9%)
Margin: 8.0
ATS +/-: +3.5
MEM
37-45-0
(45.1%)
Margin: -6.0
ATS +/-: -0.6
⚖️ Over/Under
NY
47-55-0
O: 46.1% / U: 53.9%
Total +/-: -1.4
MEM
43-39-0
O: 52.4% / U: 47.6%
Total +/-: +1.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MEM
NY
MEM
NY
ML
57%
59-44
61%
114-72
50%
41-41
56%
57-45
ATS
63%
65-38
67%
124-62
50%
41-41
56%
57-45
TTL
70%
71-31-1
72%
133-53
100%
82-0
100%
102-0
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