WASHINGTON
WIZARDSWSH
10-48 | Road
113
CHARLOTTE
HORNETSCHA
14-44 | Home
100
AI Model Win Probability
WIZARDS
0%
HORNETS
100%
WIZARDS
--
HORNETS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
207.3
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
0%
Under 0
100%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-3.7
WASHINGTON
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.7 points (Washington)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-30-20-100+10+20+30
Distribution centered around WSH -3.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (WSH)
WSH By 1-7 points
27.4%
WSH By 8-14 points
21.2%
CHA By 1-7 points
20.5%
CHA By 8-14 points
9.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Washington
105.52
WASHINGTON
Charlotte
101.79
CHARLOTTE
Simulated Score
Washington
WASHINGTON
Charlotte
CHARLOTTE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Wizards
Win
0% Win Prob
D
Sim
% Win Prob
None
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Wizards (-0)
Win
Proj Spread: -3.7
D
Sim
Proj Spread:
None
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o0
Win
Proj Total: 207.3
D
Sim
Proj Total:
None
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Feb 22, 2026
CHA @ WSH
129 - 112
Jan 24, 2026
WSH @ CHA
115 - 119
Dec 23, 2025
WSH @ CHA
109 - 126
Oct 26, 2025
CHA @ WSH
139 - 113
Mar 1, 2025
WSH @ CHA
113 - 100
Key Model Drivers
Blocks (L5)
+30.2% more
Washington: 6.3
vs
Charlotte: 4.4
Assists (L5)
+11.1% more
Washington: 25.3
vs
Charlotte: 22.5
Field Goal % (L5)
+9.2%
Washington: 47.8%
vs
Charlotte: 38.6%
3pt Field Goal % (L5)
+7.9%
Washington: 34.9%
vs
Charlotte: 27.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
WSH Score
105.5
113
CHA Score
101.8
100
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
3pt Field Goal %
27.0 / 34.9
33.3 / 34.0
Assists
22.5 / 25.3
28.0 / 33.0
Blocks
4.4 / 6.3
5.0 / 7.0
Field Goal %
38.6 / 47.8
44.1 / 45.5
Free Throw %
76.7 / 78.7
66.7 / 94.1
Rebounding
47.7 / 40.3
44.0 / 48.0
Steals
7.5 / 7.3
9.0 / 13.0
Turnovers
17.7 / 19.2
17.0 / 15.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Public splits unavailable
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
WSH
17-65-0
(20.7%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHA
Advantage
45-39-0
(53.6%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
🎯 ATS (Spread)
WSH
33-49-0
(40.2%)
Margin: -12.0
ATS +/-: -1.4
CHA
Advantage
50-34-0
(59.5%)
Margin: 4.4
ATS +/-: +4.4
⚖️ Over/Under
WSH
47-35-0
O: 57.3% / U: 42.7%
Total +/-: +3.3
CHA
32-52-0
O: 38.1% / U: 61.9%
Total +/-: -3.4
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHA
WSH
CHA
WSH
ML
61%
60-39
70%
112-49
48%
40-44
47%
39-44
ATS
60%
59-40
69%
111-49-1
48%
40-44
47%
39-44
TTL
58%
57-42
74%
119-41-1
100%
84-0
100%
83-0
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